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Price*: $80,472, +0.51% today. Tested $80,900 high, holding above $78,202 low.

*What changed*: BTC broke $80K and is fighting to hold it. This confirms the breakout from the multi-month downtrend that ran from the $126K ATH to $60K Feb low.

*Drivers*:

1. *ETF flows*: $1.97B in April, best month of 2026. May 1 saw $629.8M single-day inflow

2. *Supply*: Exchange reserves at 7-year low. Whales bought 270K BTC in April

3. *Technicals*: RSI ∼60, above 50-day SMA $72,359. 200-day SMA at $84,046 is next hurdle

*Key levels*:

- *Upside*: Daily close >$80,900 targets $84K–$85.5K

- *Support*: $75K is must-hold. Lose it and $72.3K, then $65K–$60K opens

- *Risk*: Futures-driven rally = high volatility. Options price only 25% chance of $84K this month

*Bottom line*: Bulls flipped structure by taking $72.8K. Now $80K decides if we expand to $85K or chop in the $75K–$80K range.