CBDC ban odds just hit 75% on Kalshi

The US is moving closer to outlawing central bank digital currencies. This isn't some maybe anymore - prediction markets are pricing in a 3 in 4 chance this becomes law.

Why this matters for Bitcoin:

No CBDC means the government can't roll out programmable money with built-in surveillance and control. That's one less competitor to decentralized money. When the state can't issue its own digital currency, Bitcoin's value prop as censorship-resistant sound money gets stronger.

This is a structural tailwind. Not hopium - actual policy shift that removes a major threat to crypto adoption.

Watch how this plays out in Congress. If it passes, expect capital to flow harder into BTC as the clear alternative to fiat digital rails.