Ignoring the supply schedule

Here is what most $BILL traders get completely wrong in 2026: they ignore the supply schedule.

People look at the price and the market cap, but skip the fact that only about a quarter of the 10B total supply is circulating, with a large unlock penciled in for November 2026. When new tokens hit the market, they can add sell pressure if demand has not scaled to meet them. That is not a prediction of doom, it is just math worth respecting.

So I check the float and the unlock calendar before I form any opinion on $BILL . I size small and I assume volatility. Could be wrong, but I would rather be early on the risk than surprised by it.

I track BILLUSDT on Bitunix to keep an eye on volume around these events.

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