$RIVER /USDT short at 6.483 – exhaustion trap or continuation flush?

$RIVER - SHORT

Trade Plan:

Entry: 6.475 – 6.491

SL: 6.565

TP1: 6.422

TP2: 6.381

TP3: 6.320

Why this setup?

• Heavy SHORT bias (95/100) – daily trend is bearish, and the 4h bounce looks like a low-confidence dead cat against the 1D downtrend.

• 15m RSI at 63.1 sits near overbought, while 1h RSI is neutral at 49.53 – the short-term rally lacks momentum. 4h price is still below EMA50 (6.67) and EMA200 (7.02), confirming the broader bearish structure.

• Entry zone: 6.475–6.491. SL at 6.565 (tight – 1.3% risk). TP1 at 6.422. Invalidation only if price reclaims 6.792 – until then, sellers have the edge.

Debate:

If this breaks, I flip fast. If it holds, I press harder.

Tap Add Trade before the move confirms 👇️