$ETH Why I run a separate cycle model for Ethereum instead of reusing the Bitcoin one.

ETH is not just "high-beta Bitcoin". Post-Merge it has its own supply dynamics, its own rotation behaviour, and its own valuation anchor, so a model fitted to Bitcoin's four-year halving rhythm misfits ETH at the edges. SMM-ETH uses 28 signals across five of six tiers, with the rotation tier anchored on the ETH/BTC ratio, BTC dominance, and altcoin-season behaviour rather than Bitcoin's miner economics.

The honest limitation, stated plainly: the 2022 ETH bottom still reads Neutral rather than Accumulation in the current build. The drop was sharp and the validator-stress tier is not live yet, so the model is less precise at ETH's extremes than the six-tier Bitcoin version. I would rather tell you that than pretend the ETH model is as mature as the BTC one. It is not, and the cycle-call accuracy reflects it at 4 of 5 in-zone.

What it is good for: telling you whether ETH is leading or lagging Bitcoin in the rotation, which is the question that actually matters for an ETH position.

#SatoshiMacro #Ethereum #OnChain #ETH

https://satoshimacro.com/tools/crypto/satoshimacro-model-eth/