💥FED WATCH: MARKET JUST PRICED IT IN 👀
Kalshi traders are now pricing an 83% probability that the Fed HOLDS rates in January — the highest odds so far.
📊 This isn’t a decision.
It’s expectation.
And markets move on expectations before policy changes.
🧠 What this tells us:
• Rate cuts are getting pushed further out
• Volatility stays elevated
• Risk assets will move on data, not hope
📉 Bad data = pressure
📈 Soft data = relief rallies
Do you think the Fed stays restrictive longer than markets expect —
or is this the final “hold” before cuts?
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