$BTC BITCOIN’S HISTORY IS SENDING A WARNING SIGNAL — AND IT’S NOT DONE YET
Here’s a metric most traders ignore—but cycles respect. Right now, there are only ~340 days in Bitcoin’s entire history where price was higher than today. This isn’t momentum. It’s historical dominance—how much of BTC’s past the current price still outperforms.
Why does this matter? Because true bear market bottoms have historically formed when this number climbs into the 700–800 day range. That’s the point where Bitcoin no longer outperforms most of its own history—maximum exhaustion, maximum disbelief.
We’re nowhere near that zone yet. Which suggests the cycle adjustment may still be incomplete. If this pattern rhymes again, a revisit below the 2021 ATH (~$69K) can’t be ruled out. Uncomfortable? Absolutely. But that’s how cycles work—they hurt before they heal.
This doesn’t mean collapse.
It means time, patience, and pain are still part of the process.
Markets don’t bottom when fear appears.
They bottom when history says there’s nothing left to outperform.
Are we close… or not even halfway there yet?
