🚨 POWELL | Key #fomc Takeaways 👇
• No one’s base case is a rate hike, hikes are off the table
• Inflation still elevated; Core PCE near 3%
• Most of the inflation overshoot is from tariffs, not demand
• Core PCE ex-tariffs running just above 2%
• Tariffs are a one-time price shock
• Tariff-driven inflation expected to peak and fade (around mid-2026)
• If inflation cools, the Fed can loosen policy
• U.S. debt path is unsustainable, Powell warns
• Policy remains “appropriate” for now, decisions meeting-by-meeting
• Fed not reading much into gold’s price surge
This was quietly dovish… with a warning label on U.S. debt. 👀
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