WARNING: THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE GIGA VOLATILE!
A US government shutdown is basically confirmed at 12:00 AM ET tomorrow.
Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing an 86% chance of a US government shutdown as funding expires at midnight Friday.
86% is LITERALLY confirmation.
And a shutdown isn't just "people staying home".
- Paychecks get DELAYED.
- Contracts get DELAYED.
- Approvals get DELAYED.
- Data gets DELAYED.
The economy slows from pure uncertainty.
And it looks like markets are pricing it right now.
Exactly like I said before.
I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
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I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.