Δημοσίευση
100u to 100k in a year
·
--
$BTC is 1% away from breaking a 15 year market rule.
Price is hovering around $70,000.
The previous cycle ATH sits near $69,000.
Bitcoin has one long-standing rule across cycles:
Every cycle doesn't start a new downtrend below previous cycle's ATH.
Every. Single. Time.
That gap is tiny.
But structurally, it’s massive.
Not coincidence. Structure.
• 2014 bear market bottom respected the 2013 top
• 2018 bottom formed well above the 2013 ATH
• 2022 nuked the market, but price still held above the 2017 ATH near $20k on a macro basis
Previous ATH always flipped into long-term support.
Psychological. Structural. Institutional.
Now Bitcoin is sitting directly on that historical line.
If price starts ACCEPTING below $69k, this becomes the first cycle in history to fail that rule.
That’s not just a narrative shift but market regime change.
Because when structure breaks:
• Long-term cycle models get questioned
• Funds de-risk faster
• Positioning shifts from accumulation to protection
• The “four-year rhythm” thesis weakens
This is where bull markets prove themselves.
Strength defends structure and rewrites history.
A clean hold and reclaim above $70k keeps the higher-low structure intact and the macro bull case alive.
Lose it convincingly, and fear won’t come from headlines.
It’ll come from a rule Bitcoin has never broken… finally breaking.
This is the moment bulls step in.
Or let $BTC do something it has never done before.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Price is hovering around $70,000.
The previous cycle ATH sits near $69,000.
Bitcoin has one long-standing rule across cycles:
Every cycle doesn't start a new downtrend below previous cycle's ATH.
Every. Single. Time.
That gap is tiny.
But structurally, it’s massive.
Not coincidence. Structure.
• 2014 bear market bottom respected the 2013 top
• 2018 bottom formed well above the 2013 ATH
• 2022 nuked the market, but price still held above the 2017 ATH near $20k on a macro basis
Previous ATH always flipped into long-term support.
Psychological. Structural. Institutional.
Now Bitcoin is sitting directly on that historical line.
If price starts ACCEPTING below $69k, this becomes the first cycle in history to fail that rule.
That’s not just a narrative shift but market regime change.
Because when structure breaks:
• Long-term cycle models get questioned
• Funds de-risk faster
• Positioning shifts from accumulation to protection
• The “four-year rhythm” thesis weakens
This is where bull markets prove themselves.
Strength defends structure and rewrites history.
A clean hold and reclaim above $70k keeps the higher-low structure intact and the macro bull case alive.
Lose it convincingly, and fear won’t come from headlines.
It’ll come from a rule Bitcoin has never broken… finally breaking.
This is the moment bulls step in.
Or let $BTC do something it has never done before.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Αποποίηση ευθυνών: Περιλαμβάνονται απόψεις τρίτων. Δεν παρέχονται επενδυτικές συμβουλές. Το Binance Ai ενδέχεται να χρησιμοποιείται χωρίς καμία εγγύηση. Δείτε τους Όρους και προϋποθέσεις.