技术分析参考
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I think it's better to start with a demo account first.
It's certainly better to experiment with real money, but I don't have any, so I'll stabilize the demo before going live.
Here's my plan:
Set the maximum loss per trade to $100. I'll go live when both of the following conditions are met:
1. The last 50 trades have every 10 trades profitable.
2. Profit is greater than 25 trades.
I hope to achieve this goal.
I mainly focus on model patterns: v, n, w, balancing pattern characteristics and cycle levels.
I'll update here every day, hoping to stick with it until I succeed!
#交易训练 #技术分析参考
It's certainly better to experiment with real money, but I don't have any, so I'll stabilize the demo before going live.
Here's my plan:
Set the maximum loss per trade to $100. I'll go live when both of the following conditions are met:
1. The last 50 trades have every 10 trades profitable.
2. Profit is greater than 25 trades.
I hope to achieve this goal.
I mainly focus on model patterns: v, n, w, balancing pattern characteristics and cycle levels.
I'll update here every day, hoping to stick with it until I succeed!
#交易训练 #技术分析参考
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$LUNA Just stopped falling, is the next step an opportunity or a trap?
On the 15-minute chart, $LUNA rebounded from support at 0.1607, slightly closing in the green, but overall still in a downtrend.
The MACD death cross has not yet spread, but momentum remains bearish. The lower Bollinger band has just been tested, and short-term may enter a consolidation zone.
I believe this is a point for a short-term rebound, but one should enter and exit quickly.
*Buy Zone:* 0.1610 - 0.1630
*TP1:* 0.1660
*TP2:* 0.1690
*TP3:* 0.1720
*Stop Loss:* Break below 0.1590
Possible factors driving the price:
1. $LUNA has fallen over 12%, there may be funds looking to buy the dip
2. If the overall market stops falling, it will trigger a rebound
Will you enter the market now, or wait for confirmation?
*Follow me to see short-term opportunities at the first moment.*
#LUNA #加密货币分析 #BinanceSquare #短线机会 #技术分析参考
On the 15-minute chart, $LUNA rebounded from support at 0.1607, slightly closing in the green, but overall still in a downtrend.
The MACD death cross has not yet spread, but momentum remains bearish. The lower Bollinger band has just been tested, and short-term may enter a consolidation zone.
I believe this is a point for a short-term rebound, but one should enter and exit quickly.
*Buy Zone:* 0.1610 - 0.1630
*TP1:* 0.1660
*TP2:* 0.1690
*TP3:* 0.1720
*Stop Loss:* Break below 0.1590
Possible factors driving the price:
1. $LUNA has fallen over 12%, there may be funds looking to buy the dip
2. If the overall market stops falling, it will trigger a rebound
Will you enter the market now, or wait for confirmation?
*Follow me to see short-term opportunities at the first moment.*
#LUNA #加密货币分析 #BinanceSquare #短线机会 #技术分析参考
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Candlestick patterns, MACD golden cross, and wave theory are actually of little use in trading...
The candlestick patterns, MACD golden cross, and wave theory that you are obsessed with are of little use to most retail investors today.
Why?
Because they were born in an era without computers 100 years ago, they are primitive strategies recognized manually by the human brain. Wall Street's supercomputers had already optimized these 20 years ago.
How can you win against a supercomputer with an abacus?
———
But technical analysis isn't dead; the foundation still exists.
This foundation consists of two iron rules:
Iron Rule 1: Prices fluctuate around value
Value is the person, and price is the dog pulled by the person.
Dogs will run back and forth, sometimes rushing far ahead (bubbles), sometimes falling behind (undervalued). But the leash pulls them back, and they must ultimately return.
Why?
Because they were born in an era without computers 100 years ago, they are primitive strategies recognized manually by the human brain. Wall Street's supercomputers had already optimized these 20 years ago.
How can you win against a supercomputer with an abacus?
———
But technical analysis isn't dead; the foundation still exists.
This foundation consists of two iron rules:
Iron Rule 1: Prices fluctuate around value
Value is the person, and price is the dog pulled by the person.
Dogs will run back and forth, sometimes rushing far ahead (bubbles), sometimes falling behind (undervalued). But the leash pulls them back, and they must ultimately return.
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What is the form of K-lines?
I have always been asked about the investigation of Teacher Cat's form; here is my answer.
First, this 'form' can be said to be the form of K-lines or not. Let me explain the reason.
What it means is that no matter which technical analysis theory you are currently using, you cannot escape the essential movement logic of K-lines. Even if you use 'Chande Theory', although it is slightly different from 'candlestick lines', you still cannot escape the essence of K-lines by filtering out some 'merged K-lines' that contain inclusion relationships.
And the meaning of 'not' is
[No single K-line can determine the direction change of the market; it must be viewed as a whole.]
First, this 'form' can be said to be the form of K-lines or not. Let me explain the reason.
What it means is that no matter which technical analysis theory you are currently using, you cannot escape the essential movement logic of K-lines. Even if you use 'Chande Theory', although it is slightly different from 'candlestick lines', you still cannot escape the essence of K-lines by filtering out some 'merged K-lines' that contain inclusion relationships.
And the meaning of 'not' is
[No single K-line can determine the direction change of the market; it must be viewed as a whole.]
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Is entering the cryptocurrency market a matter of trial and error, or should you pay to learn from a teacher?
If you don't have the right methods, you must learn, and definitely follow a professional, reliable teacher!
Let me share a feasible plan. If you can execute it, making a million is achievable.
1. Work hard for two months to increase your principal to around ten thousand.
2. Buy coins when Bitcoin's weekly line is above ma20; buy two to three, and they must be new coins, hot coins during a bear market, like apt before it surged. It comes out of the bear market; as long as Bitcoin rises a bit, it will take off, like op. Just remember, they must have momentum and a story to tell.
Let me share a feasible plan. If you can execute it, making a million is achievable.
1. Work hard for two months to increase your principal to around ten thousand.
2. Buy coins when Bitcoin's weekly line is above ma20; buy two to three, and they must be new coins, hot coins during a bear market, like apt before it surged. It comes out of the bear market; as long as Bitcoin rises a bit, it will take off, like op. Just remember, they must have momentum and a story to tell.
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#BTC #技术分析参考 Due to drinking too much yesterday, I forgot to share and will make up for it today
🔵 Core Support Levels
$92,000: Previous day's opening price + VAL overlap area, stabilize to go long.
$91,000: Historical gap bottom, strong psychological support.
$88,000: Long-term trend line, rebound level after extreme selling.
🔴 Core Resistance Levels
$95,600: Monthly breakout level, stabilizing confirms a bull market.
$96,000: Weekly VAH + upper channel line, multiple pressures.
$97,000: Psychological level, beware of profit-taking after breakout.
✅ Long Conditions
Entry: $92k-$93k (volume decrease pullback) or $91k (gap support).
Stop Loss: For $92k long, stop loss below $91k; for $91k long, stop loss below $88k.
Target: $95.6k → $96k-$97k.
❌ Short Conditions
Entry: $95.6k-$96k (stalling signal) or $97k (no volume spike).
Stop Loss: For $96k short, stop loss at $96.5k; for $97k short, stop loss at $97.5k.
Target: $94k → $92k.
📌 Key Insights
Short-term bullish: Monthly/weekly chart shows a breakout structure, stabilizing at $95.6k will accelerate.
Risk Warning: If it falls below $92k, a deep correction to $88k may occur.
(Strategies need to be validated with volume/price action and adjusted flexibly)
🔵 Core Support Levels
$92,000: Previous day's opening price + VAL overlap area, stabilize to go long.
$91,000: Historical gap bottom, strong psychological support.
$88,000: Long-term trend line, rebound level after extreme selling.
🔴 Core Resistance Levels
$95,600: Monthly breakout level, stabilizing confirms a bull market.
$96,000: Weekly VAH + upper channel line, multiple pressures.
$97,000: Psychological level, beware of profit-taking after breakout.
✅ Long Conditions
Entry: $92k-$93k (volume decrease pullback) or $91k (gap support).
Stop Loss: For $92k long, stop loss below $91k; for $91k long, stop loss below $88k.
Target: $95.6k → $96k-$97k.
❌ Short Conditions
Entry: $95.6k-$96k (stalling signal) or $97k (no volume spike).
Stop Loss: For $96k short, stop loss at $96.5k; for $97k short, stop loss at $97.5k.
Target: $94k → $92k.
📌 Key Insights
Short-term bullish: Monthly/weekly chart shows a breakout structure, stabilizing at $95.6k will accelerate.
Risk Warning: If it falls below $92k, a deep correction to $88k may occur.
(Strategies need to be validated with volume/price action and adjusted flexibly)
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Why Technical Analysis is Unreliable
Technical analysis is a useful tool for traders, but we must consider its limitations. Technical analysis is basically based on assumptions about past market statistics and data without considering other external factors. Therefore, traders should not rely 100% on technical analysis, but use it together with other analysis methods.
Some of its limitations include:
1. It is based on assumptions about past market trends obtained from past market price and volume data;
2. It is a lagging tool and is affected by the interpretation of different traders;
3. Technical analysis does not provide the full details of the market, i.e. taking economic and global events into account,
Therefore traders should consider all these factors before using technical analysis to make investment decisions. #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #技术分析参考
Technical analysis is a useful tool for traders, but we must consider its limitations. Technical analysis is basically based on assumptions about past market statistics and data without considering other external factors. Therefore, traders should not rely 100% on technical analysis, but use it together with other analysis methods.
Some of its limitations include:
1. It is based on assumptions about past market trends obtained from past market price and volume data;
2. It is a lagging tool and is affected by the interpretation of different traders;
3. Technical analysis does not provide the full details of the market, i.e. taking economic and global events into account,
Therefore traders should consider all these factors before using technical analysis to make investment decisions. #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #技术分析参考
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$BTC $ETH $SOL
At 4 AM, the short-term indicators showed signs of a trend change, and at 6 AM, the hourly indicators collectively indicated a bearish trend.
This means that a trend change in the market can occur at any time, but the rebound in the early hours around midnight last night was acceptable, especially the significant rise in ETH.
For contract trading: remember a few key times: 4 AM, 6 AM, and 8 AM. Generally, U.S. stocks open at 9:30 PM, but if there’s no market movement at midnight, it's better to get some sleep. Set alarms for 4, 6, and 8 AM.
#技术分析参考
At 4 AM, the short-term indicators showed signs of a trend change, and at 6 AM, the hourly indicators collectively indicated a bearish trend.
This means that a trend change in the market can occur at any time, but the rebound in the early hours around midnight last night was acceptable, especially the significant rise in ETH.
For contract trading: remember a few key times: 4 AM, 6 AM, and 8 AM. Generally, U.S. stocks open at 9:30 PM, but if there’s no market movement at midnight, it's better to get some sleep. Set alarms for 4, 6, and 8 AM.
#技术分析参考
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