日本央行转向引爆流动性

#日本央行加息 #日本央行转向引爆流动性 #加密市场观察

The market is fundamentally not prepared for the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike this week.

The most significant event this month is not the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut~wrong.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is an event that the market has anticipated.

Not cutting rates would instead surprise the market.

The most significant event this month is the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting.

Date: December 18th - December 19th

Press conference: December 19th, Japan time during the day.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will elaborate on the central bank's monetary policy.

It is known that the interest rate will increase by 0.25%, meaning the bank deposit rate will rise from 0.5% to 0.75%.

It is known that the Bank of Japan will start to unwind 83 trillion yen in ETFs as early as January.

Key focus will be on the Bank of Japan Governor's statements regarding future monetary policy.

If the language indicates a long-term interest rate hike, it will be bearish and reverse the market.

The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike will end the yen carry trade.

The market is shifting towards cryptocurrencies; the decline over the weekend is a forward-looking signal.

#日本央行加息 #日本央行转向引爆流动性 #加密市场观察

The market is simply not prepared for the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike

The most significant event this month, you think, is the Federal Reserve's rate cut~ wrong

The Federal Reserve's rate cut is already an expected outcome

Not cutting rates would actually surprise the market

The most significant event this month is the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike

Date: December 18-19

Press conference: December 19, during daytime in Beijing

It is known that the interest rate hike will be 0.25%, meaning the interbank deposit rate will rise from 0.5 to 0.75

It is known that the Bank of Japan will start unwinding 83 trillion yen in ETF holdings as early as January

Key attention is on Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's statements on monetary policy

If there are phrases indicating a long-term rate hike, it will be bearish and reverse market trends

The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike will end yen carry trades

The market is turning towards cryptocurrencies; the drop over the weekend is a leading signal

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

🔥 【Dual Storm in Macroeconomics and Cryptocurrency Markets! Bank of Japan's Shift + 234 Million Liquidation Alert】
Yen Surges, Crushing Leveraged Bulls? ETH Becomes the Biggest Victim ⚡
🌍 One, Bank of Japan's 'Hawkish Turning Point' Approaches
Signals of Policy Shift Strengthened
The US-Japan trade agreement goes into effect (car tariffs reduced from 25% to 15%), eliminating key uncertainties, and the Bank of Japan's meeting this week may release signals of 'exit from easing'.
Although interest rates are expected to remain unchanged at 0.5%, Governor Ueda Kazuo clearly stated: 'As long as inflation meets the target, we will proceed with interest rate hikes.'
The market has voted with its feet
The yen surged against the US dollar to 146.82 in a single day (the strongest level of the year), and Japanese government bond futures were sold off.
Probability of rate hikes soared: The probability of a rate hike before the end of the year rose from 60% to 80%, with October possibly being the earliest window for action.
Underlying Pressure Sources
GDP Crisis: The IMF warns that Japan's GDP will be surpassed by India by 2025, with yen depreciation being the main reason.
Sticky Inflation: Core CPI has exceeded 3% for 14 consecutive months (June at 3.3%), and the rise in food prices is difficult to diminish.
💎 Macroeconomic Impact: If the Bank of Japan shifts, a wave of unwinding arbitrage trades may accelerate capital inflows to the yen, suppressing risk assets!
⚡ Two, The Cryptocurrency Market is Bleeding: Bears Squeeze Leveraged Bulls
Analysis of Liquidation Data Reveals Core Reasons for Plunge
High-Leverage Bubble Burst: Over $40 billion in open contracts for altcoin derivatives, BTC failed to break the 120,000 mark, triggering a chain liquidation.
Institutional Capital Exodus: Bitcoin ETF saw an outflow of $131 million in a single day, with Galaxy Digital's transfer of 950 million BTC exacerbating panic.
Stablecoin Risk Transmission: FDUSD depegged to $0.76, exposing custodial flaws behind a market cap of $252 billion.
Capital Quietly Shifts
ETH spot trading volume surpassed BTC for the first time ($2.57 billion vs $2.44 billion), with whales increasing their holdings by 40,000 ETH ($14.8 million) against the trend.
Tech Projects Breakthrough: ZORA integrated with Base chain, surging 60% in a single day, as capital migrates towards Layer 2 and AI sectors.
📈 Three, Trader Response Strategies
Short-Term Hedging:
Avoid high-leverage altcoins, especially those with intraday declines >10% such as PUMP and Flare;
Focus on the $116,000 support for BTC, a break could trigger a 10% pullback.
Mid-Term Positioning:
If Japan raises interest rates, go long on yen-denominated safe assets (US Treasuries, gold);
Buy the dip in ETH ecosystem and compliant stablecoins (USDC, DAI).
#日本央行转向引爆流动性 | #ETH多单大屠杀 | #WalletConnect @WalletConnect $WCT