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（Shocking! The 'Hidden Giants' of the Global Market Have Made a Move—Japan's 'Watanabe Ladies'）
#加密市场观察 This group of aunts controlling trillions in household assets may be changing the direction of global capital. With Japan raising interest rates and the U.S. lowering them, their past strategy of profiting by borrowing yen to buy U.S. bonds is facing a reversal. To repay loans, they may be forced to sell U.S. stocks and bonds, potentially reaching a trillion-level scale. What impact will this have on the cryptocurrency market? If traditional markets experience increased volatility, some funds may seek to allocate to non-correlated assets. Can cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin demonstrate their unique asset characteristics in such an environment? Whenever the market structure changes, the flow of funds will also adjust accordingly. Besides mainstream coins, some emerging assets on the Ethereum chain are worth observing, such as the recently discussed Musk's Little PUPPIES. Do you think the movements of the Watanabe Ladies will indirectly affect the trends in the cryptocurrency market? Let's discuss your views (#欢迎大家交流 🐶 P U P P I E S🐶) $BTC $ETH $BNB

（🚨🚨Emergency reversal, Powell just shouted "Don't expect interest rate cuts" and was stabbed in the back by employment data.) #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
Brothers, the Federal Reserve's script has been instantly torn apart. Powell's firm statement that rate hikes are at an end, but don't expect rate cuts, as a significantly revised non-farm payroll report has dealt the market a heavy blow. The truth of the data is shocking, with August employment numbers shifting from gains to a net loss of 26,000, and September's new job count slashed from 150,000 to 108,000. Wall Street collectively questions the credibility of the official preliminary values, which have dropped below 70%. Market expectations reversed overnight, with the probability of rate cuts skyrocketing, changing from no cuts this year to at least two cuts next year, with action possibly in January. The dollar promptly fell below 98, and global asset pricing faces heavy restructuring, with Powell being put on the hot seat. If the hawkish persona of interest rate cuts collapses completely, inflation may rebound; if not cut, signals of economic slowdown are already evident, and recession risks have surged. Even more frightening is that CPI data will be released in two days; if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve will find itself in a deadlock with no good options. Trump may become the biggest winner; the worse the economy, the greater the political pressure, challenging the Federal Reserve's independent credibility. This is precisely the situation Trump welcomes. The storm has just begun, with data fog + policy trust crisis + political games, the market will enter a high volatility phase. Remember, when the tide goes out, those who are swimming naked will always be seen first (#欢迎大家交流 🐶P U P P I E S🐶🐶) $BTC $ETH $BNB

#加密市场观察 （Wall Street calls for a big price of 140,000, but the market is very cold, is this normal?）
Today's market situation is a bit confusing, there are a lot of messages, but only three are truly useful. The first is that index rules are starting to focus on companies heavily invested in cryptocurrencies, MSCI is discussing whether to exclude companies with a high proportion of digital assets from the global index. What does this mean? It's not a negative for the big price itself, but traditional funds are becoming more cautious about how much money they allocate to it. The second is that Wall Street has given a very aggressive long-term expectation, with some institutions believing that under the background of ETF funds and regulatory promotion, there is a chance to see prices above 140,000 dollars for cryptocurrencies in 2026. Note that this is a long-term assumption, not a short-term market judgment. The third is that the short-term market is still fluctuating. After the inflation data was released, prices rebounded, but the overall sentiment remains cautious, indicating that funds are still waiting for clearer signals. In summary, the long-term Shanghai market is very hot, but the short-term rhythm is still slow. Are you more concerned about the long-term or the current fluctuations? Brothers, let's chat in the comments (#欢迎大家交流 🐶P U P P I E S🐶🐶)$BTC $ETH

《Alarm 88000 Sweeping is a Trap》
#加密市场观察 【23.5 Billion Options Expiration Eve: Bitcoin Consolidating Around 88000, Retail Investors' Three Strategies to Respond】 Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating around 88000 USD, appearing calm but actually hiding a crisis. On the 26th, the largest options expiration in history, amounting to 23.58 billion USD, will take place. This is not an ordinary event but a key point controlled by large funds. Market makers are hedging risks by locking the price in the range of 87000-89000 USD through spot operations, leading to a volatility drop to 44%, and the short-term market direction is unclear. Notably, the cost of put options is higher than that of call options, indicating that large funds are still worried about downside risks. Technical analysis shows that we are currently in a weak rebound phase, with the MACD zero axis golden cross being only a signal of short-term momentum exhaustion, not a trend reversal. The key resistance level is at 91000 USD (a dense chip area), and the support level is at 85000 USD, with 81000 USD as strong support. It is expected that a narrow range of fluctuations will be maintained before expiration, and a breakthrough will require unexpected news to stimulate it, with a smaller probability of a pullback. Advice for retail investors:
Holders: If the 85000 support is not broken, there is no need to cut losses; set stop-loss to protect profits.
Observers: You can build positions in small batches in the 87000-85000 range.
Cash holders: Patiently wait for the options expiration on the 26th, and take action only after the direction is clear to avoid blindly entering during the consolidation period. The current consolidation in the market is a psychological battle of the main force; retail investors need to maintain composure and seize certain opportunities after the volatility is released. $BTC (#欢迎大家交流 🐶P U P P I E S🐶🐶)

$ETH $BTC Christmas market is very stable, let's not take off (#欢迎大家交流 🐶P U P P I E S🐶🐶) #ETH走势分析

《🔥Desperate Miners? Who is Treading on the Edge of the Blade?💣》
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 Attention, China has once again become the world's third-largest BTC mining center. But strangely, wasn't mining completely banned four years ago? That's right, at that time the national computing power was instantly halved, but guess what? According to the latest report, we have quietly made our way back into the top 3 of global computing power rankings. These miners are playing a guerrilla war. Look at many hydropower stations in Sichuan; on the surface, they are cloud computing and AI computing power centers, yet during the rainy season, they all power on to mine. The industrial park in the northwest claims to recover waste heat, but secretly it’s full of mining machines. What's even more exaggerated is that there are actually tutorials on a certain app teaching how to hide mining machines in wardrobes. To be honest, this guerrilla tactic reminds me of why underground workers had to mention the difference in electricity costs back in the day. The electricity price in Inner Mongolia is 0.3 yuan per kilowatt-hour, while in Texas, USA, it's 0.9 yuan. The profit margin is enough to drive people crazy; even if caught and fined 200,000 yuan, the latest mining machine can recoup the costs in three months. Who can resist such temptation? There’s a bigger story hidden behind this cat-and-mouse game. Bitcoin claims to be decentralized, but the return of Chinese miners to the battlefield has led to a concentration of computing power again. If another policy crackdown happens, the entire system could shake. So when the red light of graphics cards flickers in the night, it's not just a game of chasing profits; it's an eternal struggle between good and evil, and the next mining machine may be quietly operating on your neighbor's balcony (#欢迎大家交流 🐶P U P P I E S🐶🐶)$BTC $ETH $BNB

#加密市场观察 Bank of Japan's Strong Statement:
Interest rate hikes are not the end, but the opening of a pathway. Today, a key comment from the Bank of Japan has been severely underestimated. If economic and price trends align with predictions, the policy interest rate will continue to rise. In plain language, this is not the end, but the beginning. Why is this statement more important than a 25 BP increase? The market has never properly priced in what has already happened, but rather what will happen next. The Bank of Japan has clearly released three signals:
1. This interest rate hike is not an isolated event.
2. The acceleration path depends on the data.
3. Action will continue if conditions are met, which means Japan is actively dismantling its role as a global low-cost funding ATM for the past 30 years. The trillion-dollar arbitrage trades supported by zero interest rates are now slowly observing why today's BTC long positions do not represent safety; short-term rebounds are merely the worst-case scenario, an untriggered response. The real risk is a structural change. In the coming months, funds will continue to withdraw from risk assets, and historical data rings alarm bells. After Japan's last three interest rate hikes, BTC fell by 23%, 26%, and 31%, with a common pattern of sideways rebounds, which is a typical way to kill off the interest rate hike pathway. Currently, the more dangerous aspect is the market sentiment turning bearish; the rebound sentiment is starting to recover, believing this time is different. The central bank has clearly told you not to let your guard down; this is not over. Global liquidity has entered a chronic contraction phase, the Federal Reserve is holding high interest rates steady, Japan is beginning to tighten, Europe is cautiously tightening, and there is no new global liquidity. Three key indicators to assess the mid-term impact:
1. Whether the yen continues to strengthen.
2. Whether U.S. Treasury yields are passively pushed up.
3. Whether the scale of carry trades decreases. If two of these occur, it means BTC pressure will persist. The clear conclusion is that Japan's continued interest rate hike statements and the chronic contraction of global liquidity will undermine BTC in the mid-term, meaning daily fluctuations are meaningless, and short-term rebounds are not secure. The real risk will spread over time. Finally, a reminder to the market: the most dangerous illusion is to think that not immediately falling means the risk has disappeared. The Bank of Japan has pointed the way; interest rates are rising, and the time for the valve to close slowly is now the biggest opponent. (#欢迎大家交流 🐶P U P P I E S🐶🐶) $BTC $ETH $BNB