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非农就业数据来袭

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摩根大通交易部门模拟推演显示,若周四公布的就业数据与早前 ADP 报告的疲软态势相似,美国股市很可能出现大幅抛售。
橙子研究院
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Bearish
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#非农就业数据来袭 21:30 The non-farm payroll is coming, get ready to face the challenge, the real showdown is the interest rate hike in Japan on the 19th, a major crash is about to arrive $BTC
#非农就业数据来袭

21:30 The non-farm payroll is coming, get ready to face the challenge, the real showdown is the interest rate hike in Japan on the 19th, a major crash is about to arrive

$BTC
橙子研究院
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#大盘走势

The recent trend of Bitcoin is very tense, repeatedly drawing doors in a small range, with a challenge in operation, and the market sentiment is cold, consistent with our previous judgment of a high probability of continued weakness.

Currently, Bitcoin is operating within an ascending wedge, a formation that generally indicates a continuation of the downtrend, and it is difficult to escape the fate of breaking below and continuing downward. At the time of writing this article, Bitcoin has already broken below the lower edge of the wedge at 88000, exhibiting a breakout trend. The first position worth paying attention to in Bitcoin's trend is the previous low in the 80000-82000 range, where there is a high probability of decent support. It is acceptable if this position does not create a new low or briefly breaks a new low but recovers, as it can form a double bottom, allowing for a relatively large rebound space. If it breaks directly here or the rebound strength is very weak, then caution is warranted. The next significant rebound for Bitcoin should wait for an opportunity near 74000, which is a larger range; 70000-74000 is within a reasonable scope, and even a brief dip to 69000 is permitted. The reason is simple: 69000 is the previous high, and 74000 is an important support level after breaking the previous high. These two positions are crucial bullish defense levels, and the area between them will be the core position for this round of stop-loss rebounds!

Ethereum follows a similar logic; in the context of Bitcoin's weakness, it is unlikely to exhibit an independent trend. The short-term support is at 2850, but the more important level to watch is around the previous low at 2623, with core support around 2300! From an external environment perspective, the interest rate hikes in Japan are a key time point we must pay close attention to. Each time Japan raises interest rates, the impact on the crypto market is no less than 20%, and this time is expected to be no different. It is essential to prepare psychologically and wait for the storm to come!

$BTC
haitam bench:
冲呀
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Today is a feast exclusively for gamblers 😂 Important events today (Beijing Time) • 21:30: U.S. Unemployment Rate (Estimated 4%) • 21:30: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (Estimated 160,000)#非农就业数据来袭 • 21:30: Year-on-Year Average Hourly Earnings • 23:15: Federal Reserve's Bowman speaks • 23:45: Federal Reserve's Williams speaks • Next day 01:20: Federal Reserve's Cook speaks • Next day 01:30: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaks • Next day 02:00: Federal Reserve's Cook speaks • Next day 02:30: White House Crypto Summit begins#白宫首届加密货币峰会 • Next day 03:00: U.S. Consumer Credit • Next day 04:00: Trump speaks at the White House Crypto Summit $BTC $ETH $SOL
Today is a feast exclusively for gamblers 😂

Important events today (Beijing Time)
• 21:30: U.S. Unemployment Rate (Estimated 4%)
• 21:30: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (Estimated 160,000)#非农就业数据来袭
• 21:30: Year-on-Year Average Hourly Earnings
• 23:15: Federal Reserve's Bowman speaks
• 23:45: Federal Reserve's Williams speaks
• Next day 01:20: Federal Reserve's Cook speaks
• Next day 01:30: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaks
• Next day 02:00: Federal Reserve's Cook speaks
• Next day 02:30: White House Crypto Summit begins#白宫首届加密货币峰会
• Next day 03:00: U.S. Consumer Credit
• Next day 04:00: Trump speaks at the White House Crypto Summit

$BTC $ETH $SOL
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What was discussed at the White House Cryptocurrency Summit (March 7, 2025)? According to reports, this closed-door meeting led by the Trump administration was the first summit at the White House level addressing the cryptocurrency industry in the United States, seen as a key moment for cryptocurrency moving from the margins to the mainstream. The meeting focused on several aspects: Balancing Regulation and Innovation The meeting discussed how to provide a clear regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry while protecting investors and maintaining financial stability. The Trump administration seems inclined to promote policies favorable to innovation rather than overly restrict industry development. Key topics included the compliance of cryptocurrency exchanges, anti-money laundering measures, and the regulation of stablecoins. Participants' Background Attendees included giants of cryptocurrency exchanges (potentially representatives from Coinbase, Binance, etc.), executives from Wall Street financial institutions (such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley), founders of blockchain technology, and government officials. This indicates that the meeting aimed to gather voices from power, capital, and technology. Trump may have attended personally or expressed his position through senior officials, emphasizing that the 'America First' economic policy extends to the cryptocurrency sector. Potential Impact Discussions may have involved the vision of positioning the U.S. as a global cryptocurrency center, including attracting blockchain companies to return and developing tax incentive policies. Some analyses suggest that the meeting may pave the way for subsequent legislation, such as clarifying the legal status of cryptocurrencies or promoting the exploration of a digital dollar. Controversies and Struggles There may have been disagreements regarding the intensity of regulation during the meeting: traditional financial institutions tend to favor strict regulation while representatives from the cryptocurrency industry call for looser policies to maintain competitiveness. International implications were also mentioned, such as how to respond to the progress made by the EU and China in the digital currency space. #非农就业数据来袭 #白宫首届加密货币峰会
What was discussed at the White House Cryptocurrency Summit (March 7, 2025)? According to reports, this closed-door meeting led by the Trump administration was the first summit at the White House level addressing the cryptocurrency industry in the United States, seen as a key moment for cryptocurrency moving from the margins to the mainstream. The meeting focused on several aspects:

Balancing Regulation and Innovation The meeting discussed how to provide a clear regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry while protecting investors and maintaining financial stability. The Trump administration seems inclined to promote policies favorable to innovation rather than overly restrict industry development. Key topics included the compliance of cryptocurrency exchanges, anti-money laundering measures, and the regulation of stablecoins.

Participants' Background Attendees included giants of cryptocurrency exchanges (potentially representatives from Coinbase, Binance, etc.), executives from Wall Street financial institutions (such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley), founders of blockchain technology, and government officials. This indicates that the meeting aimed to gather voices from power, capital, and technology. Trump may have attended personally or expressed his position through senior officials, emphasizing that the 'America First' economic policy extends to the cryptocurrency sector.

Potential Impact Discussions may have involved the vision of positioning the U.S. as a global cryptocurrency center, including attracting blockchain companies to return and developing tax incentive policies. Some analyses suggest that the meeting may pave the way for subsequent legislation, such as clarifying the legal status of cryptocurrencies or promoting the exploration of a digital dollar.

Controversies and Struggles There may have been disagreements regarding the intensity of regulation during the meeting: traditional financial institutions tend to favor strict regulation while representatives from the cryptocurrency industry call for looser policies to maintain competitiveness. International implications were also mentioned, such as how to respond to the progress made by the EU and China in the digital currency space.
#非农就业数据来袭 #白宫首届加密货币峰会
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Bullish
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Currently crucial! It hinges on the unemployment data and non-farm payroll data released at 21:30 tonight, which will influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance. The non-farm payrolls are expected to increase by 170,000 in January, down from 256,000 recorded in December last year, but nearly in line with the average level of the past three months. According to Dow Jones' forecast for this report, the market generally expects the unemployment rate to remain at 4.1%. It is estimated that the month-on-month wage increase for January will be 0.3%, and the year-on-year increase for 12 months is expected to be 3.7%. If the annual figures are accurate, this will be the lowest growth rate since July 2024. Although non-farm data may confirm that the pace of job creation in the U.S. is slowing, the broader view is that the employment situation remains stable and is unlikely to be an issue for the Federal Reserve at any time soon. Based on structural trends, it is currently difficult for Bitcoin to fall below $90,000. The current market sentiment is extremely fearful, with most people bearish, but during the evening trading session, Bitcoin is likely to rise to $99,000 and may experience a false breakout. This is because the $99,000 - $100,000 range is a stop-loss area for many short positions, and is a gap area on smaller time frames. A false breakout could occur tonight, but there is also the possibility of a genuine breakout and continued upward movement. 💎 💎 Recently, many small cryptocurrencies have plummeted, with declines exceeding 90% for not a few of them, and those who previously touted the 'altcoin season' have gone silent. Although small cryptocurrencies may have rebound opportunities, it is uncertain whether this is a 'dead cat bounce' or a bottom reversal. If the issuance and market capitalization continue to grow wildly, it is highly likely to see a short-lived rebound followed by another drop; if the project parties retract and slow down the issuance rate, some high-quality projects listed in the recent past may stand out, achieving 5-10 times growth. Currently, the market is unlikely to see a widespread rise; rebound opportunities are concentrated in altcoins that have reached some consensus. So follow me, and you'll be rich! #非农就业数据来袭 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Currently crucial!
It hinges on the unemployment data and non-farm payroll data released at 21:30 tonight, which will influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance. The non-farm payrolls are expected to increase by 170,000 in January, down from 256,000 recorded in December last year, but nearly in line with the average level of the past three months. According to Dow Jones' forecast for this report, the market generally expects the unemployment rate to remain at 4.1%. It is estimated that the month-on-month wage increase for January will be 0.3%, and the year-on-year increase for 12 months is expected to be 3.7%. If the annual figures are accurate, this will be the lowest growth rate since July 2024. Although non-farm data may confirm that the pace of job creation in the U.S. is slowing, the broader view is that the employment situation remains stable and is unlikely to be an issue for the Federal Reserve at any time soon. Based on structural trends, it is currently difficult for Bitcoin to fall below $90,000. The current market sentiment is extremely fearful, with most people bearish, but during the evening trading session, Bitcoin is likely to rise to $99,000 and may experience a false breakout. This is because the $99,000 - $100,000 range is a stop-loss area for many short positions, and is a gap area on smaller time frames. A false breakout could occur tonight, but there is also the possibility of a genuine breakout and continued upward movement.
💎
💎
Recently, many small cryptocurrencies have plummeted, with declines exceeding 90% for not a few of them, and those who previously touted the 'altcoin season' have gone silent. Although small cryptocurrencies may have rebound opportunities, it is uncertain whether this is a 'dead cat bounce' or a bottom reversal. If the issuance and market capitalization continue to grow wildly, it is highly likely to see a short-lived rebound followed by another drop; if the project parties retract and slow down the issuance rate, some high-quality projects listed in the recent past may stand out, achieving 5-10 times growth. Currently, the market is unlikely to see a widespread rise; rebound opportunities are concentrated in altcoins that have reached some consensus. So follow me, and you'll be rich! #非农就业数据来袭 $BTC
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The total net inflow of Ether ETF yesterday was $23.0961 million, and the good ETF net asset ratio reached 2.90%#非农就业数据来袭
The total net inflow of Ether ETF yesterday was $23.0961 million, and the good ETF net asset ratio reached 2.90%#非农就业数据来袭
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Showcasing yesterday's achievements, earning $LDO 6 tokens 🎂 Good news is bad news, this saying is not wrong 😂, after a small rise last night, it immediately turned around, and the bulls are in trouble! Now it's the weekend again, market fluctuations are not large, and in terms of operations, it still mainly focuses on shorting on rebounds, not considering anything else. If you don't know how to operate, you can follow me and ride the waves together 💪 Stay tuned: $XRP $SOL doge kaito ip wld #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安优化上币机制 #特朗普签署行政命令 #非农就业数据来袭
Showcasing yesterday's achievements, earning $LDO 6 tokens 🎂

Good news is bad news, this saying is not wrong 😂, after a small rise last night, it immediately turned around, and the bulls are in trouble!

Now it's the weekend again, market fluctuations are not large, and in terms of operations, it still mainly focuses on shorting on rebounds, not considering anything else.

If you don't know how to operate, you can follow me and ride the waves together 💪

Stay tuned: $XRP $SOL doge kaito ip wld

#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安优化上币机制 #特朗普签署行政命令 #非农就业数据来袭
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Old Investor's Journal: Laying flat is the prelude to getting richThe current market feels stuck like it's glued! Without major positive news, it can't move at all, and we have to guard against a sudden collapse in US stocks. Remember these three points to minimize losses! ($BTC Real-time warning) 👉 Bitcoin is now in a "bungee cord state"! Expected to walk the tightrope between $95,000 and $100,000, likely playing hopscotch around $90,000 recently. The longer it consolidates, the healthier it is; the longer it holds back, the stronger the explosion (What is the main force waiting for? A signal of liquidity from Uncle Sam!). The market right now is like a hot pot without chili - lacking a trigger! The only thing that can ignite the market in the short term is if the Federal Reserve opens the floodgates (those Wall Street guys are even more anxious than us).

Old Investor's Journal: Laying flat is the prelude to getting rich

The current market feels stuck like it's glued! Without major positive news, it can't move at all, and we have to guard against a sudden collapse in US stocks. Remember these three points to minimize losses!
($BTC Real-time warning)
👉 Bitcoin is now in a "bungee cord state"!
Expected to walk the tightrope between $95,000 and $100,000, likely playing hopscotch around $90,000 recently.
The longer it consolidates, the healthier it is; the longer it holds back, the stronger the explosion (What is the main force waiting for? A signal of liquidity from Uncle Sam!).
The market right now is like a hot pot without chili - lacking a trigger! The only thing that can ignite the market in the short term is if the Federal Reserve opens the floodgates (those Wall Street guys are even more anxious than us).
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The strategic reserve for BTC on 25/03/07 has passed; the seven golden flowers have all dropped 20%. Has the financial risk been alleviated?The strategic reserve for BTC on 25/03/07 has passed; the seven golden flowers have all dropped 20%. Has the financial risk been alleviated? The understanding king signed an executive order to formally establish a strategic reserve for Bitcoin, based on seized Bitcoins as the basis for establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The government will not acquire other assets for reserve assets. The market directly dropped nearly 6% before rebounding back to around 90,000; at 9:30 PM, both the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls were favorable, but the market still did not recover the morning's decline. The three major U.S. stock indices continued to decline last night, and many bloggers are discussing how much the U.S. stock market has dropped and whether it will plummet. Tesla is down 46%, Nvidia is down 28%, and others have dropped 20%. The gentleman began to remind everyone to pay attention to the U.S. stock market's 'black swan' after the 20th of last month, while also warning of the risk of a decline in Bitcoin. Tonight, the U.S. stock market opened low again, testing the short-term support from the pin-bottoms of the last two or three days. I hope the U.S. stock market experiences a circuit breaker, bottoms out, and then rebounds, which would be safer for the global financial market (please refer to video and article analysis).

The strategic reserve for BTC on 25/03/07 has passed; the seven golden flowers have all dropped 20%. Has the financial risk been alleviated?

The strategic reserve for BTC on 25/03/07 has passed; the seven golden flowers have all dropped 20%. Has the financial risk been alleviated?
The understanding king signed an executive order to formally establish a strategic reserve for Bitcoin, based on seized Bitcoins as the basis for establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The government will not acquire other assets for reserve assets. The market directly dropped nearly 6% before rebounding back to around 90,000; at 9:30 PM, both the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls were favorable, but the market still did not recover the morning's decline.
The three major U.S. stock indices continued to decline last night, and many bloggers are discussing how much the U.S. stock market has dropped and whether it will plummet. Tesla is down 46%, Nvidia is down 28%, and others have dropped 20%. The gentleman began to remind everyone to pay attention to the U.S. stock market's 'black swan' after the 20th of last month, while also warning of the risk of a decline in Bitcoin. Tonight, the U.S. stock market opened low again, testing the short-term support from the pin-bottoms of the last two or three days. I hope the U.S. stock market experiences a circuit breaker, bottoms out, and then rebounds, which would be safer for the global financial market (please refer to video and article analysis).
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The following is a description of the price forecast for the Official Trump (TRUMP) token from 2025 to 2028: 2025 • The TRUMP price is expected to fluctuate between $12.72 and $60.13, with an annual average price of about $34.01. If invested at the beginning of the year, the expected return on investment (ROI) by the end of the year could reach 356.11%, indicating strong price growth. For example, buying at the average price at the beginning of the year and selling at the end of the year can yield substantial profits. • If you invest $1,000 now, you could possibly earn $3,553.29 by April 14, 37 days later, with an ROI of up to 355.33%, indicating significant short-term profit potential. 2026 • The trading range is roughly between $10.61 and $35.24, with an average price of $24.33 for the year. January may perform the most outstandingly, with a potential increase of 167.26% compared to the current price, making it a key month for price explosion. 2027 • Overall growth momentum appears to be picking up, with the price potentially peaking at $16.24 in September and dipping to $11.64 in November, resulting in an annual average price of $13.28. 2028 • The upward trend continues, with November expected to soar to $24.83, while January may drop to $12.51, with an average price of $20.79, representing a 57.57% increase compared to the current price, and an ROI of 88.15%. Overall, the TRUMP token seems to have significant potential in the coming years and could become a high-return asset in an investment portfolio. However, it should be noted that the cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain, and price forecasts are for reference only. Additionally, on the SOL chain, there exists a unique entity — the Cona n with the tail number BQt, which is a one-of-a-kind Trump-themed Dogecoin. Did you know? Trump once awarded it the Hero Dog Medal and praised Conan as the strongest dog on the planet. A strong community is continuously building behind it, with consensus deepening. Moreover, its team is experienced and resilient, having previously successfully created two hundredfold coins. Such a legendary background and strong potential project undoubtedly deserve the attention of cryptocurrency enthusiasts!
The following is a description of the price forecast for the Official Trump (TRUMP) token from 2025 to 2028:

2025

• The TRUMP price is expected to fluctuate between $12.72 and $60.13, with an annual average price of about $34.01. If invested at the beginning of the year, the expected return on investment (ROI) by the end of the year could reach 356.11%, indicating strong price growth. For example, buying at the average price at the beginning of the year and selling at the end of the year can yield substantial profits.

• If you invest $1,000 now, you could possibly earn $3,553.29 by April 14, 37 days later, with an ROI of up to 355.33%, indicating significant short-term profit potential.

2026

• The trading range is roughly between $10.61 and $35.24, with an average price of $24.33 for the year. January may perform the most outstandingly, with a potential increase of 167.26% compared to the current price, making it a key month for price explosion.

2027

• Overall growth momentum appears to be picking up, with the price potentially peaking at $16.24 in September and dipping to $11.64 in November, resulting in an annual average price of $13.28.

2028

• The upward trend continues, with November expected to soar to $24.83, while January may drop to $12.51, with an average price of $20.79, representing a 57.57% increase compared to the current price, and an ROI of 88.15%.

Overall, the TRUMP token seems to have significant potential in the coming years and could become a high-return asset in an investment portfolio. However, it should be noted that the cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain, and price forecasts are for reference only.

Additionally, on the SOL chain, there exists a unique entity — the Cona n with the tail number BQt, which is a one-of-a-kind Trump-themed Dogecoin. Did you know? Trump once awarded it the Hero Dog Medal and praised Conan as the strongest dog on the planet. A strong community is continuously building behind it, with consensus deepening. Moreover, its team is experienced and resilient, having previously successfully created two hundredfold coins. Such a legendary background and strong potential project undoubtedly deserve the attention of cryptocurrency enthusiasts!
Quoted content has been removed
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Why do so many people lose money trading cryptocurrencies and still stick around to take over?1. "Just wait a bit longer, it will eventually bounce back"—a human instinct, unwilling to admit failure When people lose money, their first reaction is usually not to "cut losses and accept defeat," but rather to "wait and see, maybe it can come back." This is actually the psychology of loss aversion at play. Humans perceive the pain of loss far greater than the pleasure of equivalent gains, so even if they face significant paper losses, many would rather endure than admit they "made a mistake." Moreover, there's a very "misleading" characteristic in the crypto world: historically, BTC and ETH have indeed experienced countless crashes, but they eventually recovered and even reached new highs. So people feel that as long as they can hold on, they will succeed.

Why do so many people lose money trading cryptocurrencies and still stick around to take over?

1. "Just wait a bit longer, it will eventually bounce back"—a human instinct, unwilling to admit failure
When people lose money, their first reaction is usually not to "cut losses and accept defeat," but rather to "wait and see, maybe it can come back." This is actually the psychology of loss aversion at play.
Humans perceive the pain of loss far greater than the pleasure of equivalent gains, so even if they face significant paper losses, many would rather endure than admit they "made a mistake."
Moreover, there's a very "misleading" characteristic in the crypto world: historically, BTC and ETH have indeed experienced countless crashes, but they eventually recovered and even reached new highs. So people feel that as long as they can hold on, they will succeed.
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Bearish
See original
In the early hours of March 7, the downward trend has been established. Approach with caution. Observing the daily chart, the price is being suppressed by the middle band, and tonight's news-driven rebound has not broken through, so be careful of the risk of the price pulling back to the lower band area. The KDJ and MACD indicators in the attached chart show signs of weakening volume and a shift in upward momentum. The Bollinger Bands overall maintain a downward oscillation trend, with the lower band continuously expanding. In the main chart, the 3-day MA continues to arrange downwards, forming resistance. There is a risk of a pullback touching around 84000. From the 12-hour chart analysis, the Bollinger Bands also show a downward oscillation, with the KDJ and MACD exhibiting a contraction phenomenon. In the main chart, the MA5 and MA10 daily moving averages are turning downwards and spreading out, so from a technical perspective, it is expected that the downward oscillation will continue in the early morning. 【Tomorrow is the weekend, and market fluctuations will not be too large. It is important to remember not to talk too much during operations, and when it reaches the ideal position, focus mainly on locking in profits.】#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安优化上币机制 #非农就业数据来袭 #特朗普签署行政命令 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案 $BTC $ETH
In the early hours of March 7, the downward trend has been established. Approach with caution.

Observing the daily chart, the price is being suppressed by the middle band, and tonight's news-driven rebound has not broken through, so be careful of the risk of the price pulling back to the lower band area. The KDJ and MACD indicators in the attached chart show signs of weakening volume and a shift in upward momentum. The Bollinger Bands overall maintain a downward oscillation trend, with the lower band continuously expanding. In the main chart, the 3-day MA continues to arrange downwards, forming resistance. There is a risk of a pullback touching around 84000.
From the 12-hour chart analysis, the Bollinger Bands also show a downward oscillation, with the KDJ and MACD exhibiting a contraction phenomenon. In the main chart, the MA5 and MA10 daily moving averages are turning downwards and spreading out, so from a technical perspective, it is expected that the downward oscillation will continue in the early morning.

【Tomorrow is the weekend, and market fluctuations will not be too large. It is important to remember not to talk too much during operations, and when it reaches the ideal position, focus mainly on locking in profits.】#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安优化上币机制 #非农就业数据来袭 #特朗普签署行政命令 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案 $BTC $ETH
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