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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
#btc $BTC So I’ve entered a short position on Bitcoin for now; I’ll be averaging in on any upward moves. This position is set for the long haul, at least 2 weeks. I expect a correction, and a significant one at that. Not financial advice or a call to action.
I’ll keep you updated on the position.
I’ll keep you updated on the position.
BigBossVlados:
Маржи хватит усредняться на 2 недели с 50х?
I partied hard last night and I'm nursing it with some goat milk 🐐, mentally I'm ready to take a loss but above all to score big... That's my game, I either short 200k (what I had gained during the dip a few months back) or I rack up +600K (because my analysis indicates it's heading to 50K) let's see what happens, this gets me pumped 🍀🤞🏻💯 #btc
JerryVaca:
Hay que ser osado para decirle eso a un tipo que ha tenido como 500% de PNL jajajaj, gente más rara hay en el mundo, los mismos que ganan 1$ y ya creen que saben más
Damn, SBF's venture capital blueprint has potential returns close to $500 billion!\n\nThis guy is the venture capital god of the 21st century, single-handedly grinding the entire VC scene into dust! Just looking at venture capital, he's a monster that operates on a whole different level, no question about it!\n\nWhat’s all this bullshit going on in the crypto space?\n\nWhich dumb exchange back in the day didn’t lend out user coins to institutions or run off to DeFi for high-leverage lending?\n\nThe whole industry is playing it like this, and SBF just got the worst luck, being the scapegoat, the poor bastard! $500 billion in potential returns is laid out, it’s not just talk, it’s a nuclear-level performance!\n\nAll the other VCs look like kindergarten kids eating dirt in front of him, playing house is embarrassing!\n\nSBF isn’t just the best; he’s the only one who’s truly the best! Who dares to challenge him? Even Buffett would have to roll out!\n\nThe entire venture capital world should kneel and call him dad!\n\n$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo \n\n\n\n
$BTC just pushed and now cooling… nothing unusual here.
After that strong move, price is ranging around 77.5–78k.
Looks like accumulation before next move.
If it holds above 77k → another push toward 78.5–79k is likely
If it loses 76.8–77k → quick dip toward 75.5k possible
For now… trend still bullish, but don’t chase here.
Better to wait for either a clean breakout or a pullback entry.
#btc
After that strong move, price is ranging around 77.5–78k.
Looks like accumulation before next move.
If it holds above 77k → another push toward 78.5–79k is likely
If it loses 76.8–77k → quick dip toward 75.5k possible
For now… trend still bullish, but don’t chase here.
Better to wait for either a clean breakout or a pullback entry.
#btc
$BTC has pushed back into a major resistance zone around 78k after a strong impulsive move from the 75k region.
The breakout above 76k shows strength, but price is now tapping an area where sellers previously stepped in.
With momentum slowing near resistance, a short-term pullback wouldn’t be surprising. A retrace toward the 76k level could act as a healthy retest and determine whether this move has continuation.
The structure is leaning bullish, but this is a key decision point either a clean breakout above 78k or a rejection leading to consolidation. Patience here gives a clearer direction. #btc
The breakout above 76k shows strength, but price is now tapping an area where sellers previously stepped in.
With momentum slowing near resistance, a short-term pullback wouldn’t be surprising. A retrace toward the 76k level could act as a healthy retest and determine whether this move has continuation.
The structure is leaning bullish, but this is a key decision point either a clean breakout above 78k or a rejection leading to consolidation. Patience here gives a clearer direction. #btc
LATEST BUZZ: A new documentary claims to have uncovered the true identity of #Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto 👀
"Finding Satoshi" makes a bold assertion: that Bitcoin was co-created by cryptographers Hal Finney and Len Sassaman, both of whom shared the Satoshi Nakamoto pseudonym and have since passed away.
What do you think?$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#btc
"Finding Satoshi" makes a bold assertion: that Bitcoin was co-created by cryptographers Hal Finney and Len Sassaman, both of whom shared the Satoshi Nakamoto pseudonym and have since passed away.
What do you think?$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#btc
#btc breaks out into an independent trend
1. After four months of consolidation, #btc has tested its limits multiple times and is now positioned at 78000. This is also the level it dipped to four months ago. So there's no doubt, the trend is continuing to rebound; it’s just moving at a snail's pace. What we call a bear market is actually just choppy waters, so a retracement near 75000 is another good opportunity to buy the dip.
2. The altcoin leader #eth is hovering around 2400. This level is still building momentum. Every time you accumulate, just hold on patiently, and you’ll see a solid risk-reward ratio. Plus, the greed index has dropped back to 32. This is a great signal for the market we've seen in the last six months.
3. When the market is in chaos, keep an eye on #doge ; it’s been sideways for four months, and the signals of stabilization are particularly clear, plus there's nowhere left to drop. Smart money loves this kind of momentum. Remain bullish and hold on to your position
#加密市场反弹 $ADA
1. After four months of consolidation, #btc has tested its limits multiple times and is now positioned at 78000. This is also the level it dipped to four months ago. So there's no doubt, the trend is continuing to rebound; it’s just moving at a snail's pace. What we call a bear market is actually just choppy waters, so a retracement near 75000 is another good opportunity to buy the dip.
2. The altcoin leader #eth is hovering around 2400. This level is still building momentum. Every time you accumulate, just hold on patiently, and you’ll see a solid risk-reward ratio. Plus, the greed index has dropped back to 32. This is a great signal for the market we've seen in the last six months.
3. When the market is in chaos, keep an eye on #doge ; it’s been sideways for four months, and the signals of stabilization are particularly clear, plus there's nowhere left to drop. Smart money loves this kind of momentum. Remain bullish and hold on to your position
#加密市场反弹 $ADA
【Escape the Meat Grinder】Don't aim for the breakthrough climax; this is just the dealer cleaning up the short blood pool of 78500.
Just now, the big cake reached a maximum of 78,447, and the whole network is shouting real breakthrough. But in the liquidity radar of institutions, this is merely a textbook-style sweep of last weekend's short stop-loss at 78,300.
The RSI has already soared to an extremely manic state of 86. The dealer uses the corpses of shorts as fuel, tricking you into chasing highs now.
As a quantitative trader, my system does not look at emotions, only calculates extremes. The current rise is just preparing to impact the ultimate macro trap of 80,000+.
Before that, all 'breakthroughs' are waste time. Keep your hands steady and watch the show.”#btc
Just now, the big cake reached a maximum of 78,447, and the whole network is shouting real breakthrough. But in the liquidity radar of institutions, this is merely a textbook-style sweep of last weekend's short stop-loss at 78,300.
The RSI has already soared to an extremely manic state of 86. The dealer uses the corpses of shorts as fuel, tricking you into chasing highs now.
As a quantitative trader, my system does not look at emotions, only calculates extremes. The current rise is just preparing to impact the ultimate macro trap of 80,000+.
Before that, all 'breakthroughs' are waste time. Keep your hands steady and watch the show.”#btc
Mong Đổi Đời1102:
200k chứ. 100k hơi phèn
Why do I feel so down these days? I've been trading crypto for six years, and I'm still not back to break-even. I'm drowning in online loans that I can't pay off, always hoping to make my money back through trading and then call it quits. I know it's tough to earn back those losses through a regular job, so I can only pin my hopes on trading. But I'm getting older, and people say that you should have your life together by 30, yet here I am with nothing. I took a break for over half a year, just watching and not making any moves, and I didn't top up. This time, I deposited 20k, feeling super confident, thinking I had the market figured out. I planned to only trade BTC and ETH and avoid those altcoins, but then I made a killing with Rave and ended up making several times what I did with ETH. In a moment of excitement, I shorted everything in Rave and lost it all. Within a month, I wiped out my entire account; I haven't seen a single profit since I deposited. What should I do? I'm sorry to my family, I'm sorry to my wife. She loves me, but I kept it from her and lost our money. I'm heartbroken. Can I still make it back? I'm really confused about my future. I don't see myself as a gambler; I wouldn't even play at a casino, yet I've lost everything in crypto and become a gambler. Is there anyone out there who can guide me on what to do? I'd be incredibly grateful. #btc #ETH
教-父:
666
$BTC near $79K and whales are SHORTING heavy 🐋
-$10.7M in loss… still not closing ❌
1000 BTC position = conviction play
🔥 Either market dumps hard
💥 Or we get a brutal short squeeze
I’m leaning SHORT after confirmation
#btc #whaleholding
-$10.7M in loss… still not closing ❌
1000 BTC position = conviction play
🔥 Either market dumps hard
💥 Or we get a brutal short squeeze
I’m leaning SHORT after confirmation
#btc #whaleholding
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🚀 BREAKING: Bitcoin ($BTC ) Ignites Market Rally!
Bitcoin has surged to $78K+, hitting an 11-week high as global tensions ease and investor confidence returns. This move is pushing the entire crypto market upward, with altcoins following the trend.
💰 Big institutions are also stepping in — a massive $2.5B BTC buy recently boosted market sentiment, signaling strong confidence from major players.
#btc #Binance #Square #BullRunAhead #MarketLiveUpdate
Bitcoin has surged to $78K+, hitting an 11-week high as global tensions ease and investor confidence returns. This move is pushing the entire crypto market upward, with altcoins following the trend.
💰 Big institutions are also stepping in — a massive $2.5B BTC buy recently boosted market sentiment, signaling strong confidence from major players.
#btc #Binance #Square #BullRunAhead #MarketLiveUpdate
There are a lot of bag holders near the cost line for short-term investors, making it tough for the bear market to break through.
Historically, there's never been a successful breakout on the second attempt; will this time be different? I doubt it.
In summary: Don't be greedy, take profits as it bounces. #btc #ETH
Historically, there's never been a successful breakout on the second attempt; will this time be different? I doubt it.
In summary: Don't be greedy, take profits as it bounces. #btc #ETH
If we set the current market as a bear market
then the short-term rebound of Bitcoin won't reach too high
80,000 is a huge lure point (trap)
The trend won't waterfall when everyone thinks it will
It will only waterfall when there is an extreme surge, and the trend is full of suspense
-------------------------------
The short-term position of Bitcoin is not important, the key is whether the operators can continue to harvest #btc
then the short-term rebound of Bitcoin won't reach too high
80,000 is a huge lure point (trap)
The trend won't waterfall when everyone thinks it will
It will only waterfall when there is an extreme surge, and the trend is full of suspense
-------------------------------
The short-term position of Bitcoin is not important, the key is whether the operators can continue to harvest #btc
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