deal

#DEAL #russia #USA European Parliament Office in Ireland #EUROPE #ukraine #economics #CRYPTO #CAPITAL #WAR As of December 2025, Russia and China have a strong economic partnership, with bilateral trade exceeding $200 #billion. China is Russia's top trading partner, providing an economic lifeline amid Western sanctions—Russia exports discounted energy (oil/gas make up ~75% of its sales to China), while importing goods and tech. However, trade dipped ~10% from 2024 peaks due to frictions like Russian import curbs on Chinese cars to protect local industries. While Russia is increasingly reliant, it's a mutual strategic tie, not full subordination. "Appendage" may overstate it, but dependency is evident.
23:55 2025 Нижче — приклад Python-коду, згенерованого на основі наданого тобою аналізу, який:
структурує ключові економічні твердження (торгівля РФ–КНР),
моделює залежність Росії від Китаю,
показує сценарний аналіз (що буде при падінні торгівлі),
будує просту візуалізацію.
Код аналітичний / ілюстративний, не прив’язаний до live-даних (бо ти вже дав узагальнений аналіз).
🔹 1. Структура даних + базові метрики залежності
Копіювати код
#python #DeAl
import pandas as pd

# Базові оцінки на грудень 2025 (з аналізу)
data = {
"year": [2023, 2024, 2025],
"bilateral_trade_usd_billion": [180, 225, 203], # >200B з падінням ~10%
"russia_energy_export_share_to_china": [0.68, 0.72, 0.75],
"china_share_of_russia_total_trade": [0.32, 0.36, 0.39],
"trade_growth_rate": [0.12, 0.25, -0.10]
}

df = pd.DataFrame(data)

# Індекс залежності РФ від КНР
# (частка торгівлі * частка енергоресурсів)
df["dependency_index"] = (
df["china_share_of_russia_total_trade"] *
df["russia_energy_export_share_to_china"]
)

print(df)
🔹 2. Інтерпретація залежності (логічна модель)
Копіювати код
Python
def interpret_dependency(index):
if index < 0.15:
return "Low dependency"
elif index < 0.25:
return "Moderate dependency"
else:
return "High dependency"

df["dependency_level"] = df["dependency_index"].apply(interpret_dependency)

print(df[["year", "dependency_index", "dependency_level"]])
🔹 3. Сценарний аналіз: що буде при подальших санкціях
Копіювати код
Python
def trade_scenario(current_trade, shock_percent):
"""
shock_percent: негативний % (наприклад -0.2 = -20%)
"""
return round(current_trade * (1 + shock_percent), 2)

scenarios = {
"baseline": 0.0,
"sanctions_pressure": -0.15,
"china_import_restrictions": -0.25,
}

current_trade = df.loc[df["year"] == 2025, "bilateral_trade_usd_billion"].iloc[0]

scenario_results = {
name: trade_scenario(current_trade, shock)
for name, shock in scenarios.items()
}

print("Scenario outcomes (USD billion):")
for k, v in scenario_results.items():
print(f"{k}: {v}")
🔹 4. Візуалізація тренду + залежності
Копіювати код
Python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

plt.figure()
plt.plot(df["year"], df["bilateral_trade_usd_billion"], marker='o')
plt.title("Russia–China Trade Volume (USD Billion)")
plt.xlabel("Year")
plt.ylabel("Trade Volume")
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()

plt.figure()
plt.plot(df["year"], df["dependency_index"], marker='o')
plt.title("Russia Dependency Index on China")
plt.xlabel("Year")
plt.ylabel("Dependency Index")
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
🔹 5. Аналітичний висновок (машинна логіка)
Копіювати код
Python
latest = df.iloc[-1]

if latest["dependency_index"] > 0.25 and latest["trade_growth_rate"] < 0:
conclusion = (
"Russia is structurally dependent on China, "
"but the relationship shows economic friction "
"and asymmetry rather than full subordination."
)
else:
conclusion = "Economic partnership remains balanced."

print("Conclusion:")
print(conclusion)
📌 Що цей код відображає концептуально
✔️ Не “appendage”, але асиметрична залежність
✔️ Китай = економічний «lifeline» під санкціями
✔️ Падіння торгівлі ≠ кінець партнерства
✔️ Енергетична монозалежність — ключовий ризик РФ
Якщо хочеш:
🔹 версію для Jupyter Notebook
🔹 додати CRYPTO / CAPITAL FLOWS
🔹 перекласти у quantitative risk model
🔹 оформити як EU policy brief / think-tank code
— скажи, в якому форматі 👍#icrypto - index 6-8

In a critical diplomatic maneuver, President Donald Trump hosted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House on Monday, aiming to inject fresh momentum into stalled negotiations for a ceasefire and hostage-release deal in Gaza. The meeting comes as the protracted conflict in the Palestinian territory enters its 22nd month, with both leaders expressing a desire for an end to the hostilities. 🤝
The dinner meeting between the two leaders, their third since Trump's return to office in January, focused heavily on a U.S.-brokered proposal designed to bring a 60-day truce to Gaza. Under this plan, Hamas would release a number of living hostages and bodies in exchange for Palestinian detainees held by Israel. It also includes provisions for increased humanitarian aid to Gaza and a phased withdrawal of Israeli troops from parts of the enclave. 📜 humanitarian aid into Gaza and a phased withdrawal of Israeli troops from parts of the enclave. 📦
"I think things are going along very well," President Trump told reporters at the start of the dinner, when asked about the prospects of a peace deal. He also voiced confidence that Hamas was willing to end the conflict, stating, "Hamas want to have that ceasefire." The President's "utmost priority" is reportedly to end the war and secure the return of all remaining hostages. 🇺🇸 hostages. 🔑
Prime Minister Netanyahu, who arrived in Washington after Israeli negotiators resumed indirect talks with Hamas in Qatar, expressed optimism that his discussions with President Trump could help advance the negotiations. He stressed Israel's determination to ensure the return of its hostages and remove the threat posed by Hamas. Before his departure, Netanyahu had stated that Israel had agreed to the terms of the U.S.-backed proposal. 🇮🇱
However, significant obstacles remain. Hamas has been seeking strong guarantees that the initial truce would lead to a total end to the war and a full withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza – demands that Israel has consistently rejected, insisting it will resume fighting to ensure Hamas's destruction. The militant group also has reservations about the distribution of humanitarian aid, preferring UN-backed mechanisms over the U.S.- and Israeli-backed Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF). 🚧
Reports suggest that President Trump has pushed for a deal to be inked by the end of the week, with his top envoy reportedly heading to Qatar to press the effort. While the optics of the White House meeting were largely positive, the real test will be whether the diplomatic push can bridge the fundamental differences that have stymied previous attempts at a lasting resolution. 🌍
The international community is keenly watching, hoping that this high-level engagement will finally pave the way for an end to the devastating conflict and bring some semblance of peace to the beleaguered region. 🙏🕊️
#SpotVSFuturesStrategy #Deal #TrumTariff #NFPprompt #Altcoin