event

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) — repo-rate cut
On 5 December 2025, RBI cut its key repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%. �
This move is considered one of the most aggressive monetary-easing actions by RBI in recent years — aiming to boost liquidity, support growth, and sustain a favorable economic environment. �
The wider implication: for India and emerging markets, such rate changes can impact interest rates, borrowing costs, currency flows, and ultimately growth — useful context for crypto/finance-economy–themed writing.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) disbursement to Pakistan
The IMF approved a US $1.2 billion disbursement to Pakistan under its ongoing bailout/fiscal-reform program, signaling confidence in Islamabad’s recent reforms. �
With this, Pakistan’s foreign reserves are reportedly about US $14.5 billion, marking some stabilization after economic and climate-related shocks. �
Event relevance: developments like these often ripple across global markets — affecting regional currencies, risk perception, cross-border capital flows, etc. Could be interesting for macroeconomic or geopolitical finance posts.
Global trade surge & growth in 2025 — as per UNCTAD
According to the latest Global Trade Update, global trade is expected to grow ~7% in 2025, adding roughly US $2.2 trillion, making it a record-high year. �
Key growth drivers: manufacturing (especially electronics), increased trade volume (rather than price inflation), and strong trade activity in East Asia, Africa, and “South–South” corridors.
Why it matters: rising global trade can influence commodity prices, supply-chain dynamics, inflation — all of which impact markets including crypto, equities, and commodities.
Anticipation of Federal Reserve (Fed) policy move in US
Markets globally are watching closely as the US Fed is set for a policy meeting (around 9–10 December 2025), with many economists expecting a rate cut of 25 basis points. �
This potential move — especially in light of mixed US macro data, employment and inflation uncertainty — could shift global capital flows, dollar strength, investor sentiment, etc. �
For emerging markets (like India), such global monetary policy shifts often influence forex, inflows/outflows — a useful angle for global economy or crypto-macro themed posts.
Global growth outlook & economic uncertainty
According to recent updates by major global institutions, global economic growth is forecast to slow: from ~3.2% in 2025 down to ~2.9% in 2026, before a modest rise to ~3.1% in 2027. �
Inflation is expected to moderate in many regions, though unevenly. �
Combined with trade tensions, protectionism, and shifting monetary policies, this makes for a fragile — yet opportunistic — global economic backdrop. �
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Binance has introduced Event Trading, a feature where users can predict whether the price of Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH) will go up or down. While this might seem like an exciting way to engage with the crypto market, it’s essential to analyze this practice from an Islamic perspective.

What is Event Trading?
In event trading, participants bet on the future price movement of cryptocurrencies. For example, you predict whether BTC will be above or below a specific price at a given time. If your prediction is correct, you earn; otherwise, you lose your investment.

Why Is It Considered Haram?
In Islam, gambling (Qimar) and speculation (Gharar) are strictly prohibited. Event trading shares characteristics of these practices:

1. Gharar (Excessive Uncertainty):

Event trading involves uncertainty, as no one can precisely predict the future price of cryptocurrencies. This level of risk falls under Gharar, which is forbidden in Islam.

The Prophet Muhammad (ﷺ) said:

"Whoever engages in Gharar-based transactions will not prosper."

(Musnad Ahmad, Hadith 15726)

2. Qimar (Gambling):

Event trading is essentially betting on the rise or fall of an asset's price, making it akin to gambling. Gambling is clearly prohibited in the Qur'an:

"O you who believe! Intoxicants, gambling, sacrificing to stones, and divination by arrows are an abomination of Satan’s handiwork. Avoid it so that you may succeed."

(Surah Al-Ma’idah, 5:90)

The Islamic Alternative
Instead of engaging in speculative trades, Muslims can focus on halal investments that involve:

✅ Real ownership of assets.

✅ Transparent and fair transactions.

✅ Avoiding interest-based (Riba) practices.

Conclusion: A Cautionary Note 🚫
Although event trading might seem lucrative, it contradicts the principles of halal trade in Islam. As Muslims, we must avoid practices that compromise our faith for worldly gain.

🛑 Stay vigilant and prioritize ethical trading methods! Always seek guidance from Islamic scholars for clarity on financial matters.

👉 What are your thoughts on this? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
💬 Are you a trader or a holder? Share your experience in the comments below and repost too ♻!

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