#InterestRateDecision Tomorrow is the Fed's decision 🇺🇸 .. Are we expecting surprises in Powell's farewell? 🚨
Here are the key points and expected impacts on the markets 👇
1️⃣ Rate hike is a done deal 📊
The markets are pricing in a 100% probability of maintaining the interest rate. The decision itself is already priced in, and the focus is entirely on Jerome Powell's tone to determine the future liquidity path (tightening or easing?). 🦅🕊️
2️⃣ Powell's final farewell 👋 🎙️
It's highly likely that this will be Powell's last meeting and press conference, as his term ends in mid-May 2026. The markets will closely watch his words and final assessment in anticipation of the new administration. 👀
3️⃣ Expected impacts (according to current prices) 🎯:
₿ Bitcoin (BTC) - 76,161
The high interest rate environment is weighing on risk assets. Any hawkish tone means sharp volatility and a wave of liquidations. A hint of future cuts could support breaking higher levels. 🚀
📊 Gold (XAU) - 4,583
Theoretically, high interest rates pressure gold, but central bank purchases are strongly supporting it. Tomorrow's speech might lead to a slight correction unless geopolitical tensions dictate otherwise. 🛡️
🛢 Oil - Brent: 110.84$ | WTI: 99.61$
The continuation of high rates raises fears of an economic demand slowdown, but prices are currently gaining strength from the risk premium due to geopolitical conflicts. ⛽