macroeconomia

#BTC Fidelity states that the traditional 4-year cycle of Bitcoin may have come to an end.

According to the manager, investors believe we may be entering a supercycle — and, as a reference, the commodities supercycle in the 2000s lasted almost a decade.

If the thesis is confirmed, the next big movement would not depend solely on halving, but on global liquidity, continuous institutional adoption, and structural supply scarcity. In this scenario, 2026 could indeed mark a new relevant upward leg.

The question shifts from whether there will be another peak to how long this cycle may last.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Cripto #Crypto #Supercycle #CryptoMarket #Investments #MacroEconomia

🔥 FED OPENS THE PSYCHOLOGICAL TRIGGER AND THE MARKET TREMBLES! 🔥

Today, Wednesday (12/17), the Federal Reserve threw gasoline on the fire and left the global market on high alert.

Fed officials confirmed that monetary policy remains restrictive, but cautiously opened the door for interest rate cuts ahead. That was enough to disrupt expectations, reposition giants, and reignite risk bets.

🧠 One of the most influential names at the Fed made it clear: inflation may begin to ease in the coming months, allowing for gradual cuts. The problem? Nothing is guaranteed. Every word was calculated to keep the market under control… or under pressure.

🏦 Meanwhile, giant banks began to move billions, repositioning capital in Treasury securities. When the heavy money moves, it’s not a coincidence; it’s a defensive strategy.

📈 Yields reacted, the dollar felt it, and the market got the message: the Fed still calls the shots.
⚠️ Another official got straight to the point: cutting rates too early could destroy the hard-earned credibility.

This Wednesday was not ordinary.
It was the day the Fed pressured expectations, tested nerves, and reminded who controls global liquidity.

✍️ Authorial content, analyzed, researched, and written by me.

$BTC $ETH $BNB

#Fed
#FederalReserve
#CryptoMarket
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
#Macroeconomia

⚠️ ALERT MACRO! UNEMPLOYMENT IN THE U.S. SPARKS FEAR: 4.6%
While we all look at the Bitcoin charts, the data has just come out that could change the course of the economy for 2026. The unemployment rate in the United States has jumped to 4.6%, its highest level since September 2021.
What you need to know about this report:
The Jump: The rate rose from 4.4% (September) to 4.6% in this November report.
Black October: It was confirmed that in October 105,000 net jobs were lost, primarily due to cuts in the public sector after the government shutdown.
Fed Reaction: Jerome Powell has called for calm and to view these data with skepticism due to the "distortions" of the 43-day government shutdown.

How does this affect Bitcoin and Crypto?
Immediate Shock: BTC has already reacted by briefly falling below $87,000 after the news.

The "Good" Side: If the economy cools down too quickly, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be forced to cut interest rates more aggressively in January to avoid a recession.
Historically: Lower interest rates = More liquidity = Bitcoin up in the medium term.

📢 Debate: Do you think this unemployment data is the "perfect excuse" for the Fed to start printing money again and send BTC to new highs, or are we heading into a recession that will drag everything down?
#MacroEconomia #desempleo #Fed #BTC #MarketUpdate $BTC

🇯🇵 THE MACROECONOMIC FEAR COMES FROM JAPAN! HEADING TOWARDS $63,000$?
The market is in panic over altcoins, but experts warn that the real threat comes from Asia.
One of the most bearish narratives circulating is as follows:
💥 THE PREDICTION: Some economists believe that the imminent interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could drive Bitcoin to $63,000.
Why is Japan the threat? (The "Yen Carry Trade")
1. CHEAP LOANS: For years, the Japanese Yen has had almost zero interest rates. Global traders borrowed cheap Yen.
2. RISKY INVESTMENT: They used that borrowed money to invest in high-risk, high-return assets, like the U.S. stock market and, CRYPTO.
3. THE UNWINDING: If Japan raises rates, that debt in Yen becomes more expensive. Traders have to liquidate their risk assets (Bitcoin and Altcoins!) to pay back the Yen loans.

This "unwinding of the Carry Trade" acts as a huge liquidity drain, and historical data (March and July 2024, January 2025) has shown that these decisions by the BoJ have always caused sharp declines in BTC (from 12% to 30%).4

📢 Question: Do you think this macroeconomic factor from Japan is more dangerous for BTC than the volatility of leveraged liquidation?
#BTC #MacroEconomia #BoJ #liquidez #miedo

​💥 THE GREAT BTC THREAT THAT EVERYONE IS IGNORING!

​ALERT! Trust in 'institutional buying' (MicroStrategy, etc.) is blind! The biggest risk to BTC is not on exchanges, but in Washington!

​📉 Bitcoin has already dropped 1.24% in 24h and the momentum is descending. The price is at $88,881 and falling below the 20 Moving Average (BOLI).
​Contrarian Thesis: The majority is fixated on the FOMO of MicroStrategy and ignoring the real danger: external macroeconomic risks.

​THE BLIND SPOT: Rising interest rates (Fed) pose a direct threat to global liquidity. If global capital dries up, not even BlackRock can hold BTC from a serious drop.

​It doesn't matter how many BTC MicroStrategy buys if the global risk environment is punitive.
​Do you care more about the Fed or the accumulation by institutions? Comment and tell me your bottom target price! 👇
​#bitcoin #BTC #MacroEconomia #RiscoERecompensa #alerta

The employment data from the United States is the trigger for institutional volatility. If unemployment rises, the Fed is forced to print money, which pushes risk assets higher. Don't trade the news; trade the trend that forms after the initial shake-up.
#USJobsDataJo #Macroeconomia #trading #Fed

BREAKING: The 'Oracle of Omaha' has the key!

Quote from Warren Buffett: “The natural course of government is to make the currency worth less over time.”
My Analysis (11:58 AM):
Buffett, the king of traditional investing, summarizes the central thesis of Bitcoin. In a fiat system:
Supply Increases: More dollars are printed every day (devaluation).
Fiat Value Falls: The purchasing power of $1 is constantly eroded....
The drop of $BTC to $89K is volatility, but the long-term trend is mathematically inevitable. Limited supply and inflation-resistant assets like Bitcoin will continue to gain value against fiat currencies.
Bullish Conclusion: Volatility is noise. Bitcoin's mission is to protect capital from monetary erosion. It is the ultimate hedge against fiscal irresponsibility!
#WarrenBuffett #BTC #inflación #MacroEconomia #inversión

BREAKING: The 'Oracle of Omaha' has the key!

Quote from Warren Buffett: “The natural course of government is to make the currency worth less over time.”

My Analysis (11:58 AM):
Buffett, the king of traditional investing, summarizes the central thesis of Bitcoin. In a fiat system:
Supply Increases: More dollars are printed every day (devaluation).
Fiat Value Falls: The purchasing power of $1 is constantly eroded.
The drop of $BTC to $89K is volatility, but the long-term trend is mathematically inevitable. Limited supply and inflation-resistant assets like Bitcoin will continue to gain value against fiat currencies.
Bullish Conclusion: Volatility is noise. Bitcoin's mission is to protect capital from monetary erosion. It is the ultimate hedge against fiscal irresponsibility!
#WarrenBuffett #BTC #inflación #MacroEconomia #inversión

🇪🇺 MACRO NEWS: The ECB Could Bring Forward Rate Cuts!
GLOBAL RELIEF! While the crypto market digests the correction of $BTC , promising news arrives from the European macroeconomic front. The European Central Bank (ECB) is signaling that it could start cutting interest rates earlier than expected.
💰 Implication for the Market
Monetary Policy: Analysts now expect that the ECB will begin to ease its monetary policy as soon as the second quarter, which could precede the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
Liquidity and Risk: A rate cut by a major central bank injects liquidity into the global financial system and is often a positive catalyst for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Counterbalance to Volatility: This news offers a respite to the current bearish narrative, reminding investors that the overall macro environment is becoming more favorable for investment.
Conclusion: The current correction could be a profit-taking phase in a macroeconomic context that, in the long term, remains bullish for cryptocurrencies.
$BTC

$ETH

#BCE #RecorteDeTasas #Macroeconomia #Bullish

🇺🇸 COURT BLOCKS TRUMP'S TARIFFS
📉 #Macroeconomia
The U.S. Federal Court has blocked today the tariffs known as "Liberation Day," imposed by President Donald Trump. The court ruled that the president exceeded his authority by imposing widespread tariffs without Congressional approval.

This decision reduces trade tensions and may bring relief to global markets, favoring risk assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies.
#criptomoeda
#BTC
#ETH
#xrp

🗓️ WEEKLY CALENDAR! Key Events that Will Move the Markets ⚡
🚨 Key Days to Mark:
🔸MONDAY: OPEC Monthly Report. (Direct impact on energy and inflation ⛽).
🔹TUESDAY (The Big One): Speech by Fed Chairman Powell. (High expectations regarding interest rates and monetary policy 🏦).
🔸WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Manufacturing Indices (NY and Philadelphia). (Measure of economic health 🏭).
🔥 Our Biggest Expectation:
Powell's speech on Tuesday is the main event. His guidance on rates dictates risk appetite and the cost of borrowing. Combined with OPEC data, it defines the narrative of inflation and investment decisions for the week!
#MacroEconomia #Powell #Fed #OPEP #trading
➡️ Follow Alezito50x for market alerts and strategy analysis. 🧠

📉 $BTC Pressured by Wall Street and Risk Aversion.

The strong correction of Bitcoin is not just an internal phenomenon of the crypto market. Today, the weakening sentiment on Wall Street, driven by trade tensions (tariffs) and risk aversion in traditional assets, has further pressured cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin is increasingly reacting like a risk asset within the global financial landscape, and capital flows are rotating towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Traders are watching the $100,000 zone as the next crucial psychological support.
Impact: The correlation with traditional markets is increasing. Investors should closely monitor US macroeconomic indicators (such as the CPI) that will be published soon.
#bitcoin #WallStreet #MacroEconomia $BTC #tradingview #BTCUSDT

#NFPWatch

📊 US NFP: Positive Surprise in the Labor Market
The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report released today showed that the US added +147 thousand jobs, exceeding expectations of 110 thousand.

Additionally, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, below the forecast of 4.3%.
Result: the labor market remains resilient, even with high interest rates.

💡 Why does this matter?
• An NFP above expectations indicates economic strength → lower chance of immediate interest rate cuts
• Lower unemployment = more consumption = potential inflationary pressure
• Direct impact on the dollar, fixed income, and… crypto as well (via global liquidity)

📌 Traders and investors are already starting to reprice the scenario for the next Fed meeting.

Technical summary:
☑️ Jobs above expectations
☑️ Unemployment below forecast
⚠️ Lower chance of monetary easing in the short term
🔸 Dollar is likely to remain strong in the short term; risk assets may feel the pressure

Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute an investment recommendation. Conduct your own analysis.

#NFPWatch #Macroeconomia #CriptoeMercado #PayrollReport #Write2Earn

📊 CRITICAL AGENDA: THIS WEEK'S DATA THAT WILL DETERMINE THE COURSE OF THE FED 📈
The global scenario is tense. Markets are about to face a decisive week, where the cascading publication of economic data from the U.S. and the speeches of Federal Reserve (Fed) leaders will inject high volatility. The key for investors is anticipation and risk management. ⚠️

🗓️ The Risk Calendar That Defines Monetary Policy
The Fed's roadmap is based on two pillars: the labor market and manufacturing health. These are the reports that will move interest rate and liquidity expectations:

All Week: Fed Officials' Interventions – Every comment can readjust traders' expectations about the future of rates. Listening is crucial. 👂

Tuesday: JOLTS Job Openings – A key indicator of job demand. A surprisingly high number could reignite inflationary concerns.

Wednesday: ADP Employment Report and ISM Manufacturing PMI – A dual view of private hiring health and the pulse of the industrial sector. Two vital readings for economic health. 🏭

Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims – The fastest indicator to measure layoff pressure.

Friday (The Main Event): Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate – The report that carries the most weight. Its final outcome can determine the tone of the Fed and the overall market sentiment. 👑

🎯 The Importance of Strategy
These reports not only affect stocks; they influence global liquidity conditions, to which digital assets react sharply. The volatility they generate is an opportunity for those with a defined strategy.

The focus should be on monitoring this data to understand market reactions and position oneself prudently.

#MacroEconomia #FEDDATA #GestiónDeRiesgo #Volatilidad #trading $BTC $BNB $SOL 📉📈

🤫 ALERT MACRO! Powell Just Silently Activated the Biggest Crypto Signal of 2025 🟢🚀
Today the screens are red, the market is bleeding, but the President of the Fed, Jerome Powell, just slipped the data that changes everything.

The key was not a cut, but the hint that the Fed might be concluding Quantitative Tightening (QT). 💡

Why is this the OXYGEN VALVE for Crypto? 👇

✅End of the Drain: QT is the process that drains liquidity from the global financial system. When this "slow bleed" stops or reverses, risk assets (like $BTC and alts) stop suffering that constant pressure.

✅The Origin of the Rallies: Every major historical bull run began with this exact type of macro change in liquidity policy, not with a retail news catalyst.

✅Ignored by the Majority: Most traders are too distracted by short-term price action ("the screen is red"), and are not registering the importance of this change.

🔥The Moment of Confirmation:

The next FOMC meeting (November 6-7) is where this hint could turn into confirmation. Get ready: the market will pretend it "saw it coming" after it happens.

$BTC , $XRP , $SOL and all risk assets need the end of QT to breathe and reactivate the cycle. Don't get distracted by the noise!

#MacroEconomia #Powell #QT #liquidez #BTC

➡️ Follow Alezito50x for market alerts and strategy analysis. 🧠

💰 BTC and M2? The key connection. 📈
Interesting analysis: if the M2 Money Supply (liquidity indicator) repeats its massive expansion of 2020, it could be a strong driver for Bitcoin in 2026!
Keep an eye on the macro data. Institutional money could be getting ready!
#bitcoin #Macroeconomia #M2 #BTC2026 #HODL
$BTC

🚨 INFLATION RUINS THE PARTY! 2.2% Reading Puts the Fed Against the Ropes. Volatility Alert! 📈🇺🇸
Inflation has just hit 2.2%, abruptly halting the optimism over interest rate cuts that Wall Street and the crypto market were hoping for. This is the noisy guest that increases uncertainty and volatility across all risk assets like $SAGA and $C98 .

✨✨. The Failure in the System: Inflation vs. The Fed 😤
The Federal Reserve (Fed) wanted to cut rates to boost the economy, but inflation has just put the brakes on them.

🔥The Problem: High inflation forces the Fed to keep rates high for longer. High rates = less liquidity available for the crypto market.

👀The Result: Every word from the Fed now shakes the markets, creating intense pressure and keeping traders operating on caffeine.

✨✨. Why is This Relevant for SAGA and C98? 💥
Altcoins are the assets that suffer the most when liquidity decreases:

🚨Amplified Risk: When liquidity is uncertain, capital tends to flee from higher-risk assets, increasing volatility in smaller coins.

✅Maximum Vigilance: Traders must be glued to the charts, as the next Fed decision has the power to change everything.

🎯Conclusion: Inflation is the dominant factor now. The next Fed decision will be a Defining event. Stay alert; the strategy is not in the coins, but in the correct reading of the Fed.

#inflación #Fed #MacroEconomia #Volatilidad 🧠💰

➡️ Follow Alezito50x for the macro analysis that directly affects your crypto portfolio. 🚀

💎 Bitcoin Is Not a Bet, It's Protection: JPMorgan Changes the Institutional Game 🏦🛡️
JPMorgan has redefined the conversation on Wall Street, dubbing Bitcoin ($BTC ) as a "devaluation trade." This key statement elevates Bitcoin from being seen as a high-risk speculative asset to a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies by governments.

Why Is Wall Street Turning to BTC?
The banking institution highlights the macroeconomic factors that are forcing big capital to seek hedges:

Rising Deficits: Excessive public spending increases debt.

Monetary Easing: Policies are becoming more lenient, quietly injecting more liquidity into the system.

For big capital, this means that the risk of governments continuing to print money is high, devaluing traditional currencies. Therefore, they are treating Bitcoin as gold with growth potential, not as a casino chip.

The Confirmation of the Narrative
This analysis from JPMorgan is not based on retail enthusiasm or social media trends, but on the cold language of traditional finance. This shift in institutional tone is the confirmation of the true narrative: smart capital is buying protection in the form of Bitcoin.

Short-term price fluctuations are irrelevant in light of this fundamental change. The message is clear: $BTC is the new hedging instrument for institutions.

#Bitcoin #JPMorgan #InversionInstitucional #devaluacion #MacroEconomia $BTC

Do you think other major institutions will follow JPMorgan's lead and classify Bitcoin as an official "protection" asset?