macromarket

THE U.S. TREASURY IS BUYING BACK DEBT - CURRENCY PRESSURE SIGNALS ARE RISING
Just one week after the largest debt buyback in U.S. history, the Treasury is executing another buyback worth $12.5 billion. Two historic moves, happening exactly 7 days apart, and both funded with newly issued USD.
Although the government does not call it easing, the reality is that these moves inject liquidity directly into the market, reducing pressure on the bond system and supporting short-term cash flow. In financial history, such large-scale interventions only occur when liquidity stress is at a notable level.
And the rule remains unchanged:
New liquidity always needs to find a safe haven.
It may flow into bonds, securities... but ultimately, risk assets like Bitcoin and crypto will feel the impact as this cash flow enters.
This is not “immediately bullish,” but is a structural signal that the U.S. is beginning to pivot softly on liquidity — something that the crypto market always reacts strongly to after a delay of several weeks to several months.
Liquidity is returning. It’s just not crypto’s turn yet… but it will be soon.
#MACROMARKET #bitcoin #LiquidityFlow

WHY DID THE MARKET DUMP STRONGLY AFTER A FOMC MEETING THAT SEEMED POSITIVE?
In just 12 hours, BTC, ETH, Nasdaq, Russell 2000… wiped out almost all previous gains. This left many investors confused as the Fed just cut interest rates and signaled liquidity support. However, in reality, this reaction is entirely reasonable when looking at the market structure.
1️⃣ Prices ran ahead of the FOMC
The Fed's cut of 0.25% was no longer surprising as the market priced in a 90% chance of a cut before the meeting day. Institutions had taken positions the week before, pushing prices ahead of the event. When the news broke, smart money took profits, creating widespread selling pressure. This is the classic “sell the news” of the financial market.
2️⃣ Powell did not provide a clear easing roadmap
Despite cutting rates, Powell emphasized the weak labor market and still high inflation, which requires the Fed to be cautious.
The dot-plot chart also indicates:
In 2026, only 1 cut is expected
→ The market interprets this as a signal of limited liquidity, more negative than initially expected.
In summary:
The FOMC news is positively short-term, but not enough to maintain strong easing expectations. As expectations are adjusted, the market must reprice – and the dump is a natural reaction.
#fomc #MACROMARKET

#btcvsgold GOLD LEADS PERFORMANCE SIGNS 2025, BITCOIN RECORDS LOWEST POINT IN UP-TREND

For the first time since 2011, gold has risen to the TOP 1 position in performance among asset classes, with a record increase of +60%. This is a clear signal showing that defensive capital flows have dominated over the past year, despite a high interest rate environment and prolonged geopolitical volatility.

Conversely, Bitcoin has recorded its lowest performance in a year considered an uptrend, while most other asset groups have increased. Historically, the scenario where Bitcoin underperforms the market has only occurred in downtrend years such as 2018 and 2022.

The divergence between gold and Bitcoin within the same uptrend cycle reflects a market sentiment prioritizing safety over high risk, while also indicating a strong capital reallocation process is underway. As we enter the new year, the structure of capital flows is likely to continue experiencing notable changes.
#MACROMARKET #GOLD

$USDC — BULLISH MACRO OUTLOOK (EDUCATIONAL)

The overall macro landscape continues to lean in favor of a stronger U.S. dollar as Federal Reserve policy remains a central driver of global liquidity and risk sentiment. The image of the Federal Reserve emblem surrounded by U.S. banknotes reflects the dominant role of U.S. monetary policy in steering capital flows, interest-rate expectations, and market stability. Historically, periods of firm or cautious Fed guidance tend to support the dollar by attracting international capital into U.S. fixed-income instruments and risk-averse assets. A disciplined policy stance often reinforces a bullish long-term structure for the USD, especially when global markets show uneven growth or rising uncertainty. While short-term fluctuations are common, the broader trend typically strengthens when the Fed signals tighter liquidity, reduced balance-sheet expansion, or persistent inflation concerns. As long as this macro backdrop holds, the long-bias narrative remains favored from an educational perspective.

RISK MANAGEMENT (EDUCATIONAL GUIDELINES)

• Avoid overexposure to any single macro bias.
• Monitor policy statements and economic data closely.
• Reassess conditions if global risk appetite or policy tone shifts.

#Macromarket #USDAnalysis #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #Economics

#bitcoin Macro Momentum
The turning point at the "Reversal Area" has marked a potential bottom for Bitcoin. The surge in liquidity has fueled a strong rally, with $BTC breaking through the $109K barrier. This momentum is expected to continue, suggesting that the cryptocurrency's gains are just beginning.

#MACROMARKET #cryptocurrency #LTCRASH #BTCMoon🚀 $BTC