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Bitcoin continues to trade below $90,000, struggling to recover after several days of heavy selling and aggressive long liquidations. Sellers keep pushing price lower, and bulls fail to reclaim momentum, creating a market environment filled with uncertainty and fear. Every attempt to bounce meets immediate resistance, showing how much control bears currently hold.
Data shared by Axel Adler shows a clear shift in derivatives pressure toward buyers. The liquidation dominance oscillator now sits at 32%, one of its highest readings in recent years. This level signals that leveraged bulls keep taking the majority of the damage, with long positions consistently wiped out as volatility rises. Instead of absorbing the drawdown, many traders continue to unwind or get forced out of their positions.
These repeated long liquidations fuel deeper downside moves and block any meaningful recovery attempts. The market now watches closely to see whether this wave of forced selling will continue dragging Bitcoin lower or if the pressure is finally reaching exhaustion.
Long Liquidations Dominate as Bitcoin Faces Renewed Downside Pressure
Adler explains that the liquidation dominance oscillator measures the ratio between long and short liquidations across the derivatives market. When the indicator prints positive values, shown as green bars, long positions take the bulk of the damage.
Negative values reflect a dominance of short liquidations. Bitcoin’s current reading of 32% stands out as one of the highest levels seen in the last three years, highlighting how aggressively bulls have been forced out during this correction.
November illustrates this perfectly. The market saw three separate waves of long liquidations, each exceeding $400 million. Every one of those spikes aligned with a sharp acceleration in Bitcoin’s price decline, reinforcing how leveraged buyers repeatedly amplified downside momentum. Rather than stabilizing the market, each flush created more selling pressure and triggered deeper unwinding across futures platforms.

The most recent liquidation wave reached $221 million, hitting the market right as Bitcoin attempted a short-term recovery. That flush immediately reversed the bounce and dragged BTC back down to the $86,000 region, erasing nearly all of last week’s gains. The persistent dominance of long liquidations shows that bulls remain under heavy stress—and until this dynamic eases, Bitcoin will struggle to build sustainable upside.
Bitcoin Market Searches for a Higher Time-Frame Floor
Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows the market pressing into a critical support zone after weeks of heavy selling. The price has dropped from the $115,000 region to the $86,000–$88,000 range, where it now interacts directly with the 100 SMA. This moving average has served as a key structural support in previous cycles, and Bitcoin’s current test of it will likely determine whether the broader uptrend holds or breaks down further.

The recent candles highlight intense volatility. Bitcoin briefly dipped to nearly $84,000 before buyers stepped in, forming a lower wick that shows early attempts to defend this level. However, the rebound remains shallow, and the 50 SMA continues to slope downward — a sign that short- and mid-term momentum still favors sellers. For bulls to regain control, BTC needs to reclaim $95,000 on a weekly closing basis.
Volume adds weight to the bearish pressure. Selling spikes dominate recent weeks, revealing a mix of forced liquidations and fear-driven exits rather than healthy profit-taking. As long as BTC trades below the 50 SMA, the market remains vulnerable to deeper retracements.
If the 100 SMA fails to hold, the next major liquidity zone sits near $70,000–$72,000, aligning with previous consolidation and the long-term 200 SMA. The next weekly close will be decisive.
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Standard Chartered indicates that the decline in the value of Bitcoin may have ended, and it expects a potential recovery by the end of the year.
Analysts point to mixed signals, from realized loss margins hinting at a rebound to supertrend warnings.
Macro forces such as "forced liquidity" and rising opportunity costs keep Bitcoin volatile.

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped sharply over the past 24 hours, nearing the $100,000 mark with an intraday low of $100,984. This price movement reflects increased volatility across the crypto market following a public exchange on social media between US President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

Their clash appears to have triggered a wave of risk-off sentiment among traders. In response, the global crypto market cap slipped 4%, falling from over $3.4 trillion yesterday to $3.33 trillion. Meanwhile, the broader market correction has not gone unnoticed in derivatives data.

Derivative Metrics Reveal Bearish Sentiment Spike

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the Binance net taker volume, a metric that measures the difference between aggressive longs and shorts, fell dramatically from $20 million to -$135 million in under eight hours.

This signals a sharp pivot in sentiment, as traders rushed to hedge or speculate on downside risk in response to the unfolding news.

Darkfost emphasized that this was the largest intraday net taker volume reversal observed on Binance this year. The abrupt shift reflects how quickly sentiment can change when macro-level narratives or influential figures dominate headlines.

In this case, the market responded swiftly to perceived uncertainty, leading to a concentration of short positions and significant selling pressure.

The situation also led to a notable change in BTC perpetual futures funding rates. Funding on Binance turned negative after briefly trending toward positive territory, dropping from +0.003 to below -0.004.

This indicates that short sellers were willing to pay a premium to maintain bearish positions, underscoring rising fear and potentially overextended downside bets.
Bitcoin Past Patterns Suggest Potential for Reversal

Historically, deeply negative funding rates have been followed by strong recoveries in Bitcoin’s price. Darkfost noted three previous events where similar funding shifts led to large rallies: October 2023 (BTC surged from $28,000 to $73,000), September 2024 (from $57,000 to $108,000), and May 2025 (from $97,000 to $111,000).

While not guaranteed, these patterns suggest that extreme pessimism can sometimes signal market turning points. The only recent exception occurred in March 2025 following trade tariff announcements, which led to a continued decline.

Still, many traders are watching closely for signs of a short squeeze, where price rebounds force short sellers to cover, amplifying upward momentum.
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On Jan. 9, 2024, discussions have been buzzing within the crypto community regarding the potential sale of $6.49 billion worth of bitcoin (BTC) by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). This speculation arises from a court ruling issued on Dec. 30, in which U.S. Chief District Judge Richard Seeborg sanctioned the forfeiture of 69,370 bitcoin.
Biden’s DOJ Could Sell $6.49 Billion in Bitcoin
In just 11 days, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will take the oath of office, and some in the cryptocurrency community are speculating that he may seek to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve for the nation. With this in mind, many had assumed that the U.S. would refrain from selling the bitcoin seized in criminal cases.
However, a court order dated Dec. 30, 2024, has sent shockwaves through the crypto community, sparking questions about whether the Biden administration’s DOJ will proceed with selling the nation’s bitcoin holdings.
The court order effectively rejects an attempt to block the asset forfeiture through the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), which sought to unmask the identity of “Individual X.” Records reveal that Individual X was a hacker who exploited a vulnerability in the Silk Road marketplace to steal these funds more than a decade ago.
This individual later cooperated with federal authorities, signing a consent agreement to surrender the stolen bitcoin to the U.S. government. Although the identity of Individual X remains concealed, court documents suggest they avoided imprisonment through an undisclosed arrangement with prosecutors.
According to onchain data from Arkham Intelligence, the funds have remained in the wallet since their acquisition on Nov. 3, 2020. Since then, the wallet has accumulated numerous dust transfers. When the 69,370 bitcoin was first consolidated into the DOJ’s wallet, it was valued at $967 million. Today, the value of this cache, originating from Individual X, has increased by 571%. The pressing question now is whether the Biden administration’s DOJ will decide to sell the 69,370 bitcoin.
Before the federal authorities seized the coins from the so-called Individual X, the wallet dat file had appeared on marketplace websites such as Satoshidisk.com and All Private Keys. When Bitcoin.com News covered the attempted sales, one site was offering the file for 0.08929505 BTC, or $1,050, based on the exchange rate at the time.
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