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🚨 BREAKING: US LABOR MARKET CRACKING 🚨
🇺🇸 US economy added 64,000 jobs in November
➡️ Above estimate: 50,000
📉 Unemployment rate jumps to 4.6%
➡️ Highest since September 2021
⚠️ What this means:
• Labor market is clearly weakening
• FED rate cut expectations 🔥
• Crypto & risk assets volatility incoming
📊 Smart money is watching closely…
This data can flip markets FAST 👀
Follow for real-time macro + crypto updates 🚀
Not financial advice $PTB
$AVAAI
$FORM
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #Fed #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations
🇺🇸 US economy added 64,000 jobs in November
➡️ Above estimate: 50,000
📉 Unemployment rate jumps to 4.6%
➡️ Highest since September 2021
⚠️ What this means:
• Labor market is clearly weakening
• FED rate cut expectations 🔥
• Crypto & risk assets volatility incoming
📊 Smart money is watching closely…
This data can flip markets FAST 👀
Follow for real-time macro + crypto updates 🚀
Not financial advice $PTB
$AVAAI
$FORM
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #Fed #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations
the #BankofJapan (BOJ) planning to raise interest rates soon. Here's what it all means in easy words:
What are interest rates?
Central banks (like #BoJ in Japan or Fed in USA) set a "base" interest rate. It's like the cost of borrowing money.
.Low rates = Cheap to borrow → People spend more → Good for stocks and crypto (more money flowing into #bitcoin ).
.High rates = Borrowing gets expensive → People save more, spend less → Can hurt stocks/crypto prices short-term.
Japan's story (BOJ)
Japan kept rates super low (even negative!) for like 30 years to fight slow growth and no inflation. But now:
.Prices are rising steadily (inflation >2%).
Wages are going up.
.Yen (Japanese money) is weak.
So, BOJ is slowly raising rates to "normalize" things.
.Current rate: 0.50%In a couple days (Dec 18-19 meeting), almost everyone expects them to bump it to 0.75% – the highest in 30 years!
Past hikes in Japan often made risky things like crypto dip a bit, because less cheap money floating around globally.
Why care if you're into crypto/stocks?
.BOJ hike → Might make yen stronger → Less "free money" for betting on Bitcoin/stocks → Possible short dip.
Bottom line: These rate changes are like the big bosses tweaking how easy/hard it is to spend and invest. BOJ tightening a tiny bit could cause some bumps, but it's gradual. Don't panic-sell – markets always bounce!
What do you think will happen to BTC? Drop your thoughts!
#RateCutExpectations
#Rates
What are interest rates?
Central banks (like #BoJ in Japan or Fed in USA) set a "base" interest rate. It's like the cost of borrowing money.
.Low rates = Cheap to borrow → People spend more → Good for stocks and crypto (more money flowing into #bitcoin ).
.High rates = Borrowing gets expensive → People save more, spend less → Can hurt stocks/crypto prices short-term.
Japan's story (BOJ)
Japan kept rates super low (even negative!) for like 30 years to fight slow growth and no inflation. But now:
.Prices are rising steadily (inflation >2%).
Wages are going up.
.Yen (Japanese money) is weak.
So, BOJ is slowly raising rates to "normalize" things.
.Current rate: 0.50%In a couple days (Dec 18-19 meeting), almost everyone expects them to bump it to 0.75% – the highest in 30 years!
Past hikes in Japan often made risky things like crypto dip a bit, because less cheap money floating around globally.
Why care if you're into crypto/stocks?
.BOJ hike → Might make yen stronger → Less "free money" for betting on Bitcoin/stocks → Possible short dip.
Bottom line: These rate changes are like the big bosses tweaking how easy/hard it is to spend and invest. BOJ tightening a tiny bit could cause some bumps, but it's gradual. Don't panic-sell – markets always bounce!
What do you think will happen to BTC? Drop your thoughts!
#RateCutExpectations
#Rates
The US Federal Reserve (the "Fed") just cut interest rates a little bit last week (on Dec 10) — now they're at 3.5% to 3.75%. This makes borrowing money cheaper, which can help the economy and things like stocks/crypto.
Their next big meeting is at the end of January 2026.
Right now, smart money on prediction sites (like Kalshi and CME FedWatch) is betting:
.About 75-79% chance the Fed says "no change" — they keep rates the same.
.Only 20-25% chance they cut rates again.
Why? The economy is okay, inflation is cooling but not gone, and jobs are slowing a bit. The Fed wants to wait and see more data before cutting more.In short: No big rate cut expected in January — probably a "pause" to watch how things go. This could mean less wild swings in markets for now!
What is kalshi? And How it works👇
Kalshi is like a "smart betting" app/website where you can trade on what you think will happen in the real world — but it's legal and regulated in the US (not gambling).How it works:
They create "yes or no" questions about future events. Examples:Will the Fed cut interest rates next month?
.Will Bitcoin hit $100k this year?
.Who wins the Super Bowl?
.Even fun stuff like Oscar winners or weather!
.
You buy "Yes" shares if you think it'll happen, or "No" if you don't.
.Shares cost between 1¢ and 99¢ (the price shows the crowd's probability — like 79¢ means 79% chance).
.If you're right when the event ends, your share becomes worth $1 (big profit!). If wrong, it's worth $0.
It's super popular for finance stuff like interest rates because traders' money shows better odds than just polls.Think stock market meets predictions!
#Kalshi
#Fed
#USJobsData
#CPIWatch
#RateCutExpectations
Their next big meeting is at the end of January 2026.
Right now, smart money on prediction sites (like Kalshi and CME FedWatch) is betting:
.About 75-79% chance the Fed says "no change" — they keep rates the same.
.Only 20-25% chance they cut rates again.
Why? The economy is okay, inflation is cooling but not gone, and jobs are slowing a bit. The Fed wants to wait and see more data before cutting more.In short: No big rate cut expected in January — probably a "pause" to watch how things go. This could mean less wild swings in markets for now!
What is kalshi? And How it works👇
Kalshi is like a "smart betting" app/website where you can trade on what you think will happen in the real world — but it's legal and regulated in the US (not gambling).How it works:
They create "yes or no" questions about future events. Examples:Will the Fed cut interest rates next month?
.Will Bitcoin hit $100k this year?
.Who wins the Super Bowl?
.Even fun stuff like Oscar winners or weather!
.
You buy "Yes" shares if you think it'll happen, or "No" if you don't.
.Shares cost between 1¢ and 99¢ (the price shows the crowd's probability — like 79¢ means 79% chance).
.If you're right when the event ends, your share becomes worth $1 (big profit!). If wrong, it's worth $0.
It's super popular for finance stuff like interest rates because traders' money shows better odds than just polls.Think stock market meets predictions!
#Kalshi
#Fed
#USJobsData
#CPIWatch
#RateCutExpectations
Alert :
Many experts thought japan increases rates soon for sure in a result $BTC drops horrible way
Predictions around $63K or below
#BTC #Japan #RateCutExpectations
Many experts thought japan increases rates soon for sure in a result $BTC drops horrible way
Predictions around $63K or below
#BTC #Japan #RateCutExpectations
BullifyX:
ohhh
Two interest rate cuts and that’s it? The Bank of England’s monetary easing cycle is coming to an en
The Bank of England is forecast to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week to 3.75%, bringing monetary policy very close to the “neutral” level—the boundary beyond which it could start to fuel inflation. With inflation still elevated at around 3.4–3.6% while the labor market is weakening, policymakers are increasingly struggling to choose between supporting growth and controlling prices. Investors believe the terminal rate for this cycle will be around 3.4%, implying that the BoE has very limited room left for further easing
#BankOfEngland
#RateCutExpectations
#BankOfEngland
#RateCutExpectations
AYOUL 06511:
Eh oui il faut attendre les EU c'est eux les boss. Trump avait demandé à la GB de sortir de L'UE pour un partenariat florissant. Où en est la GB... 💩💩💩
White House Economic Advisor Hassett says ‘Stronger data could support 50 bps cut.’
#RateCutExpectations
#RateCutExpectations
🚨 More than 1% Rate cuts expectations in 2026 😱📈🚀 $TRUMP
#TRUMP #RateCutExpectations #news #BREAKING
#TRUMP #RateCutExpectations #news #BREAKING
🤯 TRUMP DEMANDS 1% RATES & FED CHAIR CONSULTATION
President Trump has ignited a firestorm by publicly stating that the next Federal Reserve Chair should consult with him on interest rate policy and that he wants the benchmark rate driven down to 1% or lower by next year.
This unprecedented level of public guidance has immediately put the spotlight on the long-standing tradition of the Federal Reserve's independence.
What the President Said:
1% Rate Target: Trump is pushing for a drastic cut from the current target range (which is around 3.50% - 3.75% following a recent cut) down to 1% or below within the next year.
A "Consultative" Fed Chair: He insists the new Chair, whom he will nominate to replace the current Chair whose term expires in May, should view him as a "smart voice" whose views must be heard on policy decisions.
Why This is a Huge Deal:
The Federal Reserve is designed to be independent of the political cycle, allowing it to make difficult, long-term decisions—like raising rates to fight inflation—without fear of short-term political backlash.
Threat to Independence: Critics argue that this demand for consultation and a specific rate target undermines the Fed's independence, which is seen as crucial for maintaining domestic and global confidence in the U.S. dollar and economic stability.
The Candidates: President Trump has narrowed his focus to candidates he believes are aligned with his low-rate view, with former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett being the leading contenders.
The market and policymakers will be closely watching the nomination process to see who is selected and how they address the tension between the White House's demands and the Fed's mandate to maintain stable prices and maximum employment.
What do you think? Is a 1% interest rate achievable or desirable, and should the Fed Chair consult with the President?
#FedChair
#RateCutExpectations
#BinanceAlphaAlert
$LONG $BEAT $LIGHT
President Trump has ignited a firestorm by publicly stating that the next Federal Reserve Chair should consult with him on interest rate policy and that he wants the benchmark rate driven down to 1% or lower by next year.
This unprecedented level of public guidance has immediately put the spotlight on the long-standing tradition of the Federal Reserve's independence.
What the President Said:
1% Rate Target: Trump is pushing for a drastic cut from the current target range (which is around 3.50% - 3.75% following a recent cut) down to 1% or below within the next year.
A "Consultative" Fed Chair: He insists the new Chair, whom he will nominate to replace the current Chair whose term expires in May, should view him as a "smart voice" whose views must be heard on policy decisions.
Why This is a Huge Deal:
The Federal Reserve is designed to be independent of the political cycle, allowing it to make difficult, long-term decisions—like raising rates to fight inflation—without fear of short-term political backlash.
Threat to Independence: Critics argue that this demand for consultation and a specific rate target undermines the Fed's independence, which is seen as crucial for maintaining domestic and global confidence in the U.S. dollar and economic stability.
The Candidates: President Trump has narrowed his focus to candidates he believes are aligned with his low-rate view, with former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett being the leading contenders.
The market and policymakers will be closely watching the nomination process to see who is selected and how they address the tension between the White House's demands and the Fed's mandate to maintain stable prices and maximum employment.
What do you think? Is a 1% interest rate achievable or desirable, and should the Fed Chair consult with the President?
#FedChair
#RateCutExpectations
#BinanceAlphaAlert
$LONG $BEAT $LIGHT
B
RAVE
Price
0.58
🚨 Trump Pushes for 1% Rates & Fed Chair Consultation 💥
President Trump is calling for the next Federal Reserve Chair to consult with him on interest rate policy and is aiming to drive the benchmark rate down to 1% or lower within a year.
Key Points:
1% Target: A sharp cut from the current 3.50%–3.75% range.
Consultative Chair: Trump wants the incoming Fed Chair to consider his views a “smart voice” in policy decisions.
Market Implications: Moves like this challenge the Fed’s independence, which is critical for confidence in the U.S. dollar and economic stability.
Candidates in Focus: Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett are leading contenders aligned with a low-rate vision.
Traders will be watching closely — a low-rate push could shift market sentiment for $LONG , $BEAT , and $LIGHT
#FedChair #RateCutExpectations #MacroMoves
President Trump is calling for the next Federal Reserve Chair to consult with him on interest rate policy and is aiming to drive the benchmark rate down to 1% or lower within a year.
Key Points:
1% Target: A sharp cut from the current 3.50%–3.75% range.
Consultative Chair: Trump wants the incoming Fed Chair to consider his views a “smart voice” in policy decisions.
Market Implications: Moves like this challenge the Fed’s independence, which is critical for confidence in the U.S. dollar and economic stability.
Candidates in Focus: Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett are leading contenders aligned with a low-rate vision.
Traders will be watching closely — a low-rate push could shift market sentiment for $LONG , $BEAT , and $LIGHT
#FedChair #RateCutExpectations #MacroMoves
🚨BREAKING:
🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST SAID INTEREST RATES SHOULD BE 1% OR LOWER IN 2026.
#Fed
#TrumpCryptoSupport
#RateCutExpectations
#cryptouniverseofficial
#OnChainAnalysis
$BTC
🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST SAID INTEREST RATES SHOULD BE 1% OR LOWER IN 2026.
#Fed
#TrumpCryptoSupport
#RateCutExpectations
#cryptouniverseofficial
#OnChainAnalysis
$BTC
They’re LYING to you, rate cuts are actually BAD…
Well, in the short term they are.
The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot.
They happened after it.
1970s?
Fed cuts → stocks nuked.
2000 dot-com?
Fed cuts → -51%.
2008?
Fed cuts → -58%.
Even the early 2020s saw the same pattern.
Every major decline came after the Fed switched from hiking to cutting.
Why?
Because the Fed doesn’t cut rates when “everything is great.”
They cut when something is breaking.
Liquidity, credit markets, the economy… and eventually equities.
Don’t be surprised if the market does the exact opposite of what everyone on your feed expects.
But here’s the thing, after those drops, markets always recover and eventually push to new all time highs. So don’t panic.
If you’re a long-term investor, you’re gonna be fine. Just make sure you have a solid safety net in place.
I’ll keep breaking this down for you in real time. You don’t have to navigate this alone, just pay attention.
I warned you about October’s crash days before it even happened and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at.
Many people are going to wish they followed me sooner.
#RateCutExpectations
Well, in the short term they are.
The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot.
They happened after it.
1970s?
Fed cuts → stocks nuked.
2000 dot-com?
Fed cuts → -51%.
2008?
Fed cuts → -58%.
Even the early 2020s saw the same pattern.
Every major decline came after the Fed switched from hiking to cutting.
Why?
Because the Fed doesn’t cut rates when “everything is great.”
They cut when something is breaking.
Liquidity, credit markets, the economy… and eventually equities.
Don’t be surprised if the market does the exact opposite of what everyone on your feed expects.
But here’s the thing, after those drops, markets always recover and eventually push to new all time highs. So don’t panic.
If you’re a long-term investor, you’re gonna be fine. Just make sure you have a solid safety net in place.
I’ll keep breaking this down for you in real time. You don’t have to navigate this alone, just pay attention.
I warned you about October’s crash days before it even happened and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at.
Many people are going to wish they followed me sooner.
#RateCutExpectations
💥BREAKING:
🇺🇸 FED'S GOOLSBEE SAYS HE'S PROJECTING MORE RATE CUTS THAN THE MEDIAN FOR 2026.#USJobsData #RateCutExpectations
🇺🇸 FED'S GOOLSBEE SAYS HE'S PROJECTING MORE RATE CUTS THAN THE MEDIAN FOR 2026.#USJobsData #RateCutExpectations
#TRUMP #RateCutExpectations #binance #BTC
Please cut it, please, please, please.. Jerome, Jery. just small cut. Do it for me...
Come on who's your daddy Jery?
Please cut it, please, please, please.. Jerome, Jery. just small cut. Do it for me...
Come on who's your daddy Jery?
They’re LYING to you, rate cuts are actually BAD…
Well, in the short term they are.
The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot.
They happened after it.
1970s?
Fed cuts → stocks nuked.
2000 dot-com?
Fed cuts → -51%.
2008?
Fed cuts → -58%.
Even the early 2020s saw the same pattern.
Every major decline came after the Fed switched from hiking to cutting.
Why?
Because the Fed doesn’t cut rates when “everything is great.”
They cut when something is breaking.
Liquidity, credit markets, the economy… and eventually equities.
Don’t be surprised if the market does the exact opposite of what everyone on your feed expects.
But here’s the thing, after those drops, markets always recover and eventually push to new all time highs. So don’t panic.
If you’re a long-term investor, you’re gonna be fine. Just make sure you have a solid safety net in place.
I’ll keep breaking this down for you in real time. You don’t have to navigate this alone, just pay attention.
I warned you about October’s crash days before it even happened and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at.
Many people are going to wish they followed me sooner.
#RateCutExpectations
Well, in the short term they are.
The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot.
They happened after it.
1970s?
Fed cuts → stocks nuked.
2000 dot-com?
Fed cuts → -51%.
2008?
Fed cuts → -58%.
Even the early 2020s saw the same pattern.
Every major decline came after the Fed switched from hiking to cutting.
Why?
Because the Fed doesn’t cut rates when “everything is great.”
They cut when something is breaking.
Liquidity, credit markets, the economy… and eventually equities.
Don’t be surprised if the market does the exact opposite of what everyone on your feed expects.
But here’s the thing, after those drops, markets always recover and eventually push to new all time highs. So don’t panic.
If you’re a long-term investor, you’re gonna be fine. Just make sure you have a solid safety net in place.
I’ll keep breaking this down for you in real time. You don’t have to navigate this alone, just pay attention.
I warned you about October’s crash days before it even happened and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at.
Many people are going to wish they followed me sooner.
#RateCutExpectations
Yuki2030:
Неубедительно.
🛑Fed Cuts Rates but Signals Caution🛑
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points again — part of a cycle of easing that has unfolded since late 2024 — bringing rates down to roughly 3.50%–3.75%.
Chair Jerome Powell and the Fed project only limited additional cuts ahead, indicating a more cautious approach even as economic risks grow.
The decision reflects tension between a weakening labor market and persistent inflation above target, and internal Fed divisions on policy direction.
📊 Why This Matters
Rate cuts are usually intended to support economic growth by reducing borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.
But when the Fed lowers rates because growth is slowing, markets often interpret that as a warning signal about economic health, which can amplify recession fears — both among investors and analysts.
📈 Recession Fears Rising
Economists and markets have recently increased recession probability estimates as growth slows, hiring weakens, or downside risks mount. For example, some forecasts have raised the 12-month recession chance significantly based on slowing activity and trade uncertainties.
Analysts caution that historically, when the Fed resumes cutting after a long pause, it sometimes precedes recessions — though not every time.
Markets remain uncertain and volatile, with differing views on whether cuts reflect a looming downturn or a pre-emptive step to avoid one.
🧠 Fed’s Messaging Is Mixed
While the Fed has eased policy, officials have also signaled a possible pause and highlighted that inflation remains above target — suggesting they’re unwilling to cut too far too fast.
Internal disagreement at the Fed underscores how difficult it is to balance growth support with inflation control.
🧠 In Simple Terms
✔️ Lower interest rates can reduce borrowing costs and support spending/investment.
❗ But if cuts are driven by economic weakness, they can signal slowdown, which markets and economists often interpret as heightened recession risk.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #FOMCMeeting #RateCutExpectations #BTCVSGOLD
Chair Jerome Powell and the Fed project only limited additional cuts ahead, indicating a more cautious approach even as economic risks grow.
The decision reflects tension between a weakening labor market and persistent inflation above target, and internal Fed divisions on policy direction.
📊 Why This Matters
Rate cuts are usually intended to support economic growth by reducing borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.
But when the Fed lowers rates because growth is slowing, markets often interpret that as a warning signal about economic health, which can amplify recession fears — both among investors and analysts.
📈 Recession Fears Rising
Economists and markets have recently increased recession probability estimates as growth slows, hiring weakens, or downside risks mount. For example, some forecasts have raised the 12-month recession chance significantly based on slowing activity and trade uncertainties.
Analysts caution that historically, when the Fed resumes cutting after a long pause, it sometimes precedes recessions — though not every time.
Markets remain uncertain and volatile, with differing views on whether cuts reflect a looming downturn or a pre-emptive step to avoid one.
🧠 Fed’s Messaging Is Mixed
While the Fed has eased policy, officials have also signaled a possible pause and highlighted that inflation remains above target — suggesting they’re unwilling to cut too far too fast.
Internal disagreement at the Fed underscores how difficult it is to balance growth support with inflation control.
🧠 In Simple Terms
✔️ Lower interest rates can reduce borrowing costs and support spending/investment.
❗ But if cuts are driven by economic weakness, they can signal slowdown, which markets and economists often interpret as heightened recession risk.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #FOMCMeeting #RateCutExpectations #BTCVSGOLD
#btc fib 50% level is at 91800$ this could be a draw on liquidity to induce premium for a short term if $BTC btc stil bearish. Currently am holding my trade but if price doesn’t break the current low to tap in past sell side liquidity, i will be booking the profit as iam well above 75% of my account size for this trade
#ShortTermTrade #RateCutExpectations
#ShortTermTrade #RateCutExpectations
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