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Talks between the US and Iran are under way in Switzerland, even as fissures emerge over President Donald Trump’s threats and Israel’s refusal to cease hostilities in Lebanon.
Tehran and Washington agreed to a 60-day ceasefire extension for the negotiations earlier this week. But the agreement is facing tensions after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said Saturday it was closing the ⁠Strait of Hormuz again in response to Israeli attacks in Lebanon, and Trump threatened fresh strikes against Iran.
“It is high drama in one of the world’s highest-stakes diplomatic exercises,” said Al Jazeera’s Osama Bin Javaid, reporting from the Swiss mountain resort of Burgenstock where talks began Sunday
Leading the discussions were US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with the presence of Qatari and Pakistani mediators
The biggest impediment to this process remains Israel – because the Lebanon issue is something which is existential for Iran,” Bin Javaid said
Not long after the talks began, Trump – who is not attending the talks – wrote on Truth Social that “Iran must immediately stop their highly paid PROXIES in Lebanon from causing trouble”, referring to Hezbollah.
Ghalibaf responded on X that “we don’t count on the American threats”, adding: “Don’t they think to themselves that if their threats had any effect, they wouldn’t have reached the point of desperation they are in today
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Sunday Israel will continue to occupy southern Lebanon
We established a security zone in Lebanon, and we shall keep it as long as is necessary to protect our people,” he told reporters in Jerusalem.
His comments followed an earlier visit by Israeli Chief of Staff Lieutenant General Eyal Zamir to southern Lebanon
We are continuing to fight,” Zamir said. Troops “need to be prepared with high readiness to renew combat activity”
The Iran-aligned Hezbollah group meanwhile claimed attacks on Israeli forces. At least Israeli six soldiers have been killed, and 20 others wounded, over the past few days in Hezbollah attacks
The group also condemned upcoming talks between Lebanon and the US in Washington, saying Beirut would be forced to “confiscate Lebanon’s sovereignty
Israeli attacks on Lebanon have killed 4,106 people and wounded 12,153 others since March 2, the Lebanese Ministry of Health said in its latest toll Sunday.
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The Nasdaq tumbled more than 3% at one point on Tuesday, helping to drag bitcoin (BTC) nearly all the way back to $60,000. An afternoon rally, however, narrowed the Nasdaq's decline to just 1%, and bitcoin bounced alongside, trading at $62,000 just after the market close.
Bounce or not, crypto-related stocks were clobbered across the board, with Coinbase (COIN) decining 4.1% and Strategy (MSTR) 8%. A notable outperformer was Galaxy Digital (GLXY), rising 7.1% as investors reassess the company's valuation in light of its rapid data center expansion.
Higher by more than 1% at the open, the Nasdaq has turned decidedly lower just ahead of the noon hour on the East Coast, now down 1.9% and below its close on Friday.
The drop can't be blamed on Middle East tensions as crude oil is at a session low, down 4% to $87.58 per barrel. Gold and silver are also taking part in the quick dive, each dropping more than 2% over roughly the past hour.
With the AI trade leading losses, bitcoin miners turned AI infrastructure players are all sharply lower. Hut 8 (HUT) is down 6.3%, MARA Holdings (MARA) 4.9%, and IREN (IREN) 8%.
If you look at bitcoin vs other assets, from a valuation perspective, it's cheap," says Jim Ferraioli, Schwab's director of crypto research (h/t Eric Balchunas).
Speaking at the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals conference, Ferraioli, said investors waiting for a specific catalyst, such as the passage of the Clarity Act, may find it too late.
There is a fundamental mismatch between the growth of money in the economy and the amount of bitcoin available to buy," said Ferraioli. "So what we look for when you want to be long crypto is when you expect an expansion of money and liquidity. The U.S. debt is larger than the US economy, and there’s historically one way govts get out of that situation: monetary inflation."
Crypto prices have returned to familiar territory on Tuesday, headed lower as risk markets across the globe are in rally mode.
Trading at $62,500, bitcoin (BTC) is down 1% over the past 24 hours and lower by nearly 3% from Monday's high.
Shortly before the U.S. market open, Nasdaq 100 futures are higher by 0.9%, tacking on to yesterday's 1.5% gain. WTI crude oil is down 2.15% to $89.34 per barrel as investors continue to price in what might be the end of the Iran conflict.
Possibly dragging on bitcoin on Tuesday was a $36 million exploit of the Humanity Protocol and its H token. Bitcoin maxis, however, might say the opposite — that the Humanity attack (and numerous other incidents against other chains in recent weeks) shows why "there is no second best."
There isn't much expected in the way of macro news on Tuesday, but May U.S. inflation data is on tap for the U.S. on Wednesday. With interest rate traders now convinced the next Fed move will be a rate hike, a downside surprise could make things interesting.
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