Yesterday's News:
1. The total market value of cryptocurrencies has surpassed the $4 trillion mark.
2. The U.S. special envoy for Syria says that the Syrian leader has agreed to a ceasefire.
3. The EU Council has passed an amendment to extend the natural gas reserve policy for two years.
4. Trump: High interest rates are choking the real estate market; rates should be lowered to 1%.
5. Approximately $832 billion, the U.S. House of Representatives has passed the defense appropriations bill for fiscal year 2026.
6. G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting Communique: The independence of central banks is crucial for achieving price stability goals; the global economy is facing increasing uncertainty and complex challenges.
7. The EU has passed the 18th round of sanctions against Russia, targeting the 'core of the Russian war machine', including the banking, energy, and military industries, as well as a new dynamic oil price cap mechanism.
8. Federal Reserve - Board Member Waller: Refuses to comment on whether there will be dissenting opinions at the July meeting; if the president asks me to be the chair of the Federal Reserve, I will agree. Goolsbee: The latest consumer price index shows that tariffs are pushing up product inflation, which he views with a 'slight concern'. Interest rates are expected to drop significantly in the coming year.
9. Tariffs - ① US Treasury Secretary Besant: The trade agreement with Japan is still 'within the realm of possibility'. ② Sources: The Pakistani Finance Minister is visiting the US to promote the signing of a trade agreement. ③ Japan's Finance Minister Kato Katsunobu: Japan will continue constructive talks with the US. ④ Trump escalates pressure on the EU: minimum tariffs may rise to 15%-20%.
Changes in Bitcoin balances on exchanges:
In the past 24 hours, there has been a net inflow of 3600 Bitcoin, continuing to flow into exchanges, with selling pressure still ongoing ~
Bitcoin Contract Liquidation Map:
Rising to 119200, 8.52 billion in short positions were liquidated ~ Falling to 116300, 9.4 billion in long positions were liquidated ~
Daily Analysis:
Bitcoin has now been in sideways oscillation for the fifth day ~ Currently, the price has fallen below 5MA 10MA, with MA about to cross ~ Today's resistance is around 118300, 121000 ~, support: 117300, 115700, 113600 ~ Bitcoin has not undergone a deep correction, while other major coins have chosen to surge wildly in the sideways range of Bitcoin. When other coins struggle to rise, it is time for them to follow Bitcoin into a deep correction ~
4-Hour Analysis:
The price has currently returned to the lower green zone ~ The upper boundary has become resistance around 118100 ~, and the lower boundary has become support around 116800 ~~ The red downward trend line in the chart below serves as the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears; if it touches and drops, it indicates a bearish market; if it breaks upwards with volume, it’s time to go long ~
Bitcoin Summary: Sideways consolidation, with important support around 113600 ~ Currently, the short-term trend is bearish, while the medium to long-term remains bullish; Bitcoin has seen a continuous net inflow for several days, with funds selling in this price range ~
Support: 116800, 115700, 113600
Resistance: 118300, 121000.
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Ethereum Exchange Balance Changes:
In the past 24 hours, there has been a net inflow of 30,000 Ethereum; funds are still being sold off, but the rate of selling is weakening, with a net inflow of 1.2 million Ethereum on exchanges over the past 30 days ~
Ethereum Contract Liquidation Map:
At $3600, 360 million short positions were liquidated, and at $3472, $543 million were liquidated ~
Daily Analysis:
Ethereum has maintained seven consecutive bullish candles, rising 65% over 14 days; this short squeeze increase can easily lead to sharp rises and falls, with heavy profit-taking and emotions ~ The transition between bulls and bears is very rapid ~ Current resistance levels are 3610, 3750, and 4000, with support around 5MA 3420 and 3302 3076.
4 hours: The most important support point is around 3076 ~
Ethereum Summary: The increase is too large; beware of a sharp decline and correction ~ However, short selling is not advised at this time, and it remains unknown if the short squeeze phase has ended; do not act as fuel for the bulls ~
Support: Around 3420, and 3302 3076
Resistance: 3610, 3750, and 4000
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SOL Daily Analysis:
Currently, the strong resistance for SOL is around 185, with support at 5MA 173.5 and 171.2, and resistance at 195 ~ If it falls below 173.5, SOL will enter a consolidation or correction phase ~
SOL Summary: Compared to the main force of Ethereum, the main force of SOL shows hesitation ~ yet it has gained 40% ~ Beware of Ethereum's correction, which could lead to accelerated pullbacks ~
Support: 173.5 and 171.2, 167
Resistance: 185, 194
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