🎯 Core Strategy: Buy on Pullback to Support Level (Resonance of I Ching and Technical Analysis)
Optimal Entry Zone: 4,440-4,450
· Technical Basis:
· MA(7) Moving Average Support: 4,484 → 4,444 (Dynamic Adjustment)
· Potential Repair Demand Due to Divergence on 4-Hour MACD
· I Ching Validation: The Change to Kun Earth Indicates This Support Zone is Stable, Li Fire (Rebound Momentum) is Hidden Within
Specific Operations:
1. Entry Conditions:
· Price Reaches 4,445-4,455 Range
· 15-Minute Chart Shows "Morning Star" or "Hammer"
· Volume Gradually Increases
2. Risk Control Settings:
· Stop Loss: 4,420 (Pure Yin of Kun Hexagram, Breaking This Increases Downward Risk)
· Target: 4,530-4,550 (Ming Yi Hexagram Indicates Pressure Near Previous High)
3. Position Management:
· First Position 50%, Add 30% on Breakthrough of 4,500
· Total Risk Controlled Within 2% of Account
⚠️ Secondary Strategy: Lightly Short Previous High (Strict Risk Control Required)
· Technical Level: 4,555-4,565
· I Ching Warning: Ming Yi Hexagram "Brightness Damaged", This Area Easily Triggers Pullback
· Stop Loss: 4,575 (Change to Kun Earth, Breaking This Invalidates Bearish Logic)
· Win Rate Assessment: Only 45%, Does Not Conform to the Relationship of Birth and Use
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3. Win Rate Assessment and Timing Selection
Strategy Comprehensive Win Rate I Ching Compatibility Suggestion
Buy on Support 68%-72% ✅ High Position (Change to Kun Earth Support) Main Strategy
Breakthrough to Buy 60%-65% ⚠️ Mid Position (Requires Volume Breakthrough) Secondary Option
Short Previous High 45%-50% ❌ Low Position (Birth Causes Weakness) Not Recommended $ETH
