BTC oscillation speculation, institutional funds show divergence

💰 Price Dynamics

BTC is currently around $68,500 (24h ±2%). Influenced by geopolitical factors (US-Iran situation), the price has been fluctuating between $68k–$70k, repeatedly attempting to breach the $70,000 mark without success, and short-term sentiment is cautious.

📊 Institutional Fund Situation

Large inflows to ETFs in a single day: On April 6, the US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of +$471 million, marking the highest single-day inflow since the end of February. BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC are the main drivers of capital inflow.

Selling pressure and support coexist: Despite institutions buying on dips, on-chain data shows that whale addresses are still reducing their holdings, with ETFs becoming the current market's key “marginal buyer” support.

⚖️ Macro and Regulation

High interest rates: The market expects a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April, and the high interest rate environment continues to suppress the valuation of risk assets.

Legislative expectations: The market is paying attention to the potential passage of the US Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) by the end of April, which, if passed, would provide certainty for regulation. $BTC
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