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BTC

$BTC  under $80k with fed, gdp, and politics in focus

BTC

$BTC jumped on headlines about an Iranian proposal to the US, but the follow-up changed the tone: Tehran suggested reopening the Strait of Hormuz without a nuclear deal - the key US demand.

The market now waits to see how far Donald Trump is willing to bend.

It’s a heavy macro week ahead. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve System rate decision lands alongside earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google. Thursday follows with Apple and US GDP data.

Scenarios? A bearish divergence on the 4H hints at a local cooldown, with support near $75K. A momentum push through $80K is still possible - but it likely needs a clear political de-escalation signal

What else is in play?

Only 3% of traders capture most profits on Polymarket - the rest provide liquidity

BTC ETFs pulled in $824M last week - fourth straight week of inflows

Western Union plans to launch the USDPT stablecoin on Solana in May

About $330M in token unlocks are scheduled this week

Plenty of catalysts, thin room for mistakes, and a chart sitting right under a psychological level.