Good morning, Binance friends.
Today I'm stopping by to dig into the behavior of cryptocurrency. I found that between May 4th and 6th, 2026, USDT in Venezuela maintained a bullish trend in the P2P market, averaging above 640-650 Bs., following a spike at the beginning of the week that exceeded 700 Bs., reflecting a significant gap (over 30%) against the official dollar. High volatility and continued bullish pressure are expected, driven by liquidity and bank injections.
Behavior from May 4th-6th, 2026:
On Monday, May 4th: The price of the stablecoin experienced an aggressive spike, surpassing 700 Bs on some platforms after reports of a slowdown in currency sales from the banks.
On Tuesday, May 5th and Wednesday, May 6th: The rate stabilized in a high range, mostly fluctuating between 640 Bs and 655 Bs in the market, marking a gap of ~150-160 Bs with the BCV (close to 490-493 Bs). Factors: Political uncertainty, monetary liquidity issuance, and the shortage of supply in retail banking pressured the crypto dollar upwards.
Projections for the coming days:
Persistent Volatility: Analysts indicate that the crypto market, being a reference for the exchange reality, will continue to move upwards as long as the gap between the BCV and P2P persists. High Adoption: USDT is solidifying as the "real currency" for trade in Venezuela, with high transaction volumes due to the cash shortage.
Currency intervention: The direction of the price will depend on how frequently the BCV injects currencies into the banking system to try to contain the parallel rate, as happened with the injection report of 1.350 billion on May 5th. The outlook for the main cryptocurrency handled in the country will be dynamic. Especially since the upcoming weekend will be a spending one, as an important day in the country is celebrated. Mother's Day.
With this, I'm not being a prophet of inflation, but I believe the cryptocurrency will continue to rise unless there is a swift intervention from the country's main economic entity.
Cheers and stay connected.