Today, a death cross pattern appeared on the Bitcoin chart, but players familiar with historical data know that after the previous death crosses appeared, the market often found a phase bottom. It's like a fear test set up by the market, quietly reversing when everyone is in panic.
However, it is important to recognize that when the larger cycle truly turns to an end, the logic of death cross rebounds will fail. According to historical rhythms, if this round of the bull market has not yet ended, the key rebound window should start within the next 7 days.
If there is no effective rebound this week, we need to be wary of the market testing the bottom again, and then organizing forces to reverse at the 200-day bull-bear dividing line—if it cannot break through strongly at that time, it is very likely to form a macro second high point in a downward trend.
Current on-chain data shows that the address change rate of long-term holders is approaching historical extremes, and the community's long-short game has entered a heated phase. Some KOLs remind that leverage liquidation during the death cross often accelerates the formation of the bottom.
Always remember: trading should respect the market's real trends, rather than being obsessed with personal expectations. Maintaining flexibility during volatility allows one to seize opportunities when trends are confirmed.$BTC
#BTC #DeathCross #OnChainData #LongShortGame
