Historical data shows that December losses when November closes negative, reflecting recurring end-of-year volatility and macro stress.
Expert opinions differ: Schiff predicts further declines, while Hayes expects the market to find support despite ongoing market fluctuations.
BTC is trading at $91,648, ETH $3,037, with altcoins gaining moderately, an indication of selective investor rotation across assets.
The Bitcoin December forecast shows historical patterns pointing toward a continued decline following a red November. Seasonal trends and market behavior suggest that volatility may persist in the final month. Therefore, investors are closely monitoring macroeconomic events and market sentiment.
Historical Seasonal Trends
Historically, November’s red performance has often led to December losses.BTC closed December in the red after a weak November in 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022. These patterns indicate recurring end-of-year stress points for the flagship crypto.
Average monthly returns provide insight into Bitcoin’s cyclicality. While Q4 generally offers positive performance, November–December often records drawdowns tied to macro tightening and profit-taking. April and early-year months remain historically stronger, showing repeated capital inflows and market optimism.
Past cycles suggest that despite late-year gains during bull runs, Bitcoin remains vulnerable to sudden reversals. The seasonal rhythm emphasizes caution for traders relying solely on historical Q4 averages.
https://twitter.com/Cointelegraph/status/1994957310490218613?s=20
Expert Predictions
Prominent voices have weighed in on the Bitcoin December forecast. On X, economist Peter Schiff predicted that the Bitcoin crash will likely continue into December and possibly extend into next year. He contrasted this with gold and silver, which have sustained year-to-date gains without corporate buying.
On the contrary,BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes is of the view that Bitcoin will stabilize above $80,000 even if it drops to revisit that support again. These mixed views show the ongoing debate about short-term support levels and how strong the market really is. Analysts also point out that corporate buying and treasury allocations haven’t done much to reduce volatility.The Bitcoin outlook for December also looks at larger economic factors. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming FOMC meeting, where there is a strong chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut, could affect market liquidity.
This could in turn end quantitative tightening on December 1. In turn this may help support market stability and open the door for possible reversals.
Market Snapshot
Current crypto market data shows a cautious recovery and growing momentum. Bitcoin is trading around $91,648, forming higher lows and showing steady weekly gains. Ethereum is at about $3,037, as some investors shift into assets with higher risk and potential reward.
Altcoins are seeing steady growth, with XRP and BNB both up about 6% this week. Tokens, like Pippin, climbed more than 40%, while others, such as Monad, saw sharp drops .This shows how unpredictable smaller crypto coins can be.
Meanwhile, stablecoins like USDT continue to hold their peg, and have maintained steady liquidity across the market. Combined these factors make the outlook for December look mixed. Therefore, past trends, macro factors, and active trading will determine how the market finishes the year.
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