I carefully calculated the adjustments of BTC on the monthly chart in recent years!\nIf the bull market trend is still in place, the typical adjustment range is between 30-40%. If the trend reverses, the adjustment could be as high as 50% or more, and currently, the highest adjustment has reached 36%.\n\nAt the same time, looking at the adjustment time, three months is generally considered normal, and now only half of that time has passed. Therefore, I believe that in the next month or so, there will be a main bottom fluctuation, between 75,000 - 80,000 and 80,000 - 88,000. If there is a rate cut in December, it will break through accordingly; if not, it will fall below 80,000 and fluctuate.\n\nRegardless, whether there is a rate cut in December will not determine the trend, after all, continuous rate cuts are inevitable, whether sooner or later. The rate cut next year will only be stronger than this year, and the market effects will be more pronounced. I believe that 126,000 is definitely not the peak of this round of BTC; a good market will come as early as Q1 or as late as Q2.\n\nFrom another perspective, even if you think we are really in a bear market, according to past rhythms, there should be a decent rebound after three consecutive months of decline. This cannot be missed! $BTC \n\n$ETH \n\n$BNB \n\n#比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析