Bitcoin — Quick update (Dec 8, 2025)
📌 Current price / markets* state: BTC is trading around $91,330, up ~2 % in the last 24 hours.
📈 What’s working (bullish signs): BTC recently rebounded from ~$88,000 last week — the bounce suggests investors remain ready to buy dips. Price stabilizing above $91,000 indicates short-term confidence in crypto markets.
⚠️ What to watch out for (risks): Macro events — e.g. upcoming decisions by the Federal Reserve — may drive volatility. Some analysts warn of possible downward pressure if bond markets or stablecoin stress resurfaces, which could drag BTC lower.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
Support: ~$88,000–$89,000 — if BTC holds above this, short-term stability likely.
Resistance / upside target: ~$94,000–$95,000 — a clear breakout here could open a a a a a a move toward ~$100,000 before year-end.
✅ Short-term outlook (next few days): Likely range is $88,000–$95,000, with bullish tilt if market sentiment holds. Volatile events (e.g. rate news) could briefly push price lower — use caution.
Scenarios
🔵 1) Bullish Scenario (40% probability)
Target: $105,000 – $125,000
Why:
Fed rate-cut cycle starts → liquidity flows into crypto
ETF inflows return
BTC holds above $94K and breaks $100K with strong volume
Path:
$91K → $95K → $100K breakout → $110K → $120K zone test
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🟡 2) Baseline Scenario (45% probability — MOST LIKELY)
Target: $88,000 – $102,000 range-bound**
Why:
Mixed macro-signals (rate cuts priced in but no strong bullish wave)
ETF flows neutral
Traders prefer short swings
Path:
BTC continues oscillation $88K support ↔ $95K–$100K resistance
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🔴 3) Bearish Scenario (15% probability)
Target: $76,000 – $85,000
Why:
Macro shock (Fed delay / risk-off)
Derivative unwinding
Failure to protect $88K support
Path:
Drop below $88K → $84K → panic wick $78K → slow recovery
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🎯 Summary (super short)
Bullish: $105K–$125K
Baseline: $88K–$102K
Bearish: $76K–$85K