金先生聊MEME
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Bullish
$BTC $ETH $ZEC This week welcomes the strongest central bank showdown in the world!
The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates (positive) VS Japan is raising interest rates (negative), is Bitcoin, the 'digital gold', entering its shining moment? The white swan of the crypto world has arrived.
This December, the heart of the global financial market is being tightly controlled by two central banks — on one side, the Federal Reserve is fully expected to cut rates, while on the other side, the Bank of Japan is sending strong signals for rate hikes. A shocking reversal of 'loose in the US and tight in Japan' is igniting a new capital layout.
🏦 Federal Reserve: Rate cuts 'sugar rush' imminent, crypto market holding its breath.
The market has almost written '25 basis points rate cut in December' into the script, with probabilities soaring close to 90%. Weak employment data has become the strongest support, and Wall Street banks are also turning their guns, predicting that easing is on the way.
· What does this mean for Bitcoin? Historical experience shows that rate cuts = increased liquidity = risk assets celebration. The narrative of Bitcoin as 'digital gold' is further solidified, seen as a tool for hedging against monetary easing. The UAE sovereign wealth fund has already invested hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin ETFs, which is a strong signal.
· But why is there short-term indecision? The market has already digested the good news in advance, and now fears that the Federal Reserve will play 'hawkish rate cuts' (cutting but stating that there will be no further cuts). Thus, Bitcoin is stuck oscillating around the $90,000 mark, with the fear and greed index lingering in 'fear', as everyone waits for concrete evidence to materialize.
💴 Bank of Japan: The 'negative interest rate era' ends, global arbitrage trading faces reconstruction.
On the other hand, the situation has drastically changed! The Governor of the Bank of Japan has released a strong signal, with market bets on its December rate hike probability soaring to over 76%. Core inflation continues to exceed expectations, giving the central bank the confidence to move away from negative interest rates.
· The market erupted instantly: The yen surged sharply, Japanese stocks plummeted, and Japanese government bond yields soared to multi-year highs.
· Nuclear-level impact: If Japan really raises rates, the 'yen arbitrage trading' (borrowing cheap yen to invest globally) that has lasted for decades may trend reversely, facing a reorganization of global capital flows!
· Trend-wise, the tide of global monetary policy shift has arrived, with Bitcoin moving from a fringe asset to the center stage of mainstream allocation. This 'water level change' led by central banks may push the crypto market to unprecedented heights.
In summary: The Federal Reserve is ready to inject liquidity, while the Bank of Japan is preparing to withdraw liquidity.
The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates (positive) VS Japan is raising interest rates (negative), is Bitcoin, the 'digital gold', entering its shining moment? The white swan of the crypto world has arrived.
This December, the heart of the global financial market is being tightly controlled by two central banks — on one side, the Federal Reserve is fully expected to cut rates, while on the other side, the Bank of Japan is sending strong signals for rate hikes. A shocking reversal of 'loose in the US and tight in Japan' is igniting a new capital layout.
🏦 Federal Reserve: Rate cuts 'sugar rush' imminent, crypto market holding its breath.
The market has almost written '25 basis points rate cut in December' into the script, with probabilities soaring close to 90%. Weak employment data has become the strongest support, and Wall Street banks are also turning their guns, predicting that easing is on the way.
· What does this mean for Bitcoin? Historical experience shows that rate cuts = increased liquidity = risk assets celebration. The narrative of Bitcoin as 'digital gold' is further solidified, seen as a tool for hedging against monetary easing. The UAE sovereign wealth fund has already invested hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin ETFs, which is a strong signal.
· But why is there short-term indecision? The market has already digested the good news in advance, and now fears that the Federal Reserve will play 'hawkish rate cuts' (cutting but stating that there will be no further cuts). Thus, Bitcoin is stuck oscillating around the $90,000 mark, with the fear and greed index lingering in 'fear', as everyone waits for concrete evidence to materialize.
💴 Bank of Japan: The 'negative interest rate era' ends, global arbitrage trading faces reconstruction.
On the other hand, the situation has drastically changed! The Governor of the Bank of Japan has released a strong signal, with market bets on its December rate hike probability soaring to over 76%. Core inflation continues to exceed expectations, giving the central bank the confidence to move away from negative interest rates.
· The market erupted instantly: The yen surged sharply, Japanese stocks plummeted, and Japanese government bond yields soared to multi-year highs.
· Nuclear-level impact: If Japan really raises rates, the 'yen arbitrage trading' (borrowing cheap yen to invest globally) that has lasted for decades may trend reversely, facing a reorganization of global capital flows!
· Trend-wise, the tide of global monetary policy shift has arrived, with Bitcoin moving from a fringe asset to the center stage of mainstream allocation. This 'water level change' led by central banks may push the crypto market to unprecedented heights.
In summary: The Federal Reserve is ready to inject liquidity, while the Bank of Japan is preparing to withdraw liquidity.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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