The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in its latest meeting for June 2026, settling in the range of 3.50% to 3.75%, which was in line with most market expectations.

This hold marks the fourth consecutive time the Fed has maintained rates, opting for a "patient cautious" policy to assess inflation data, labor market conditions, and the impact of tariffs and recent fiscal policies.

Key points accompanying the decision:

Dot Plot: The surprise wasn't in the hold itself, but in the shift in outlook from some Fed members regarding the future; the plot showed a leaning from some members towards possibly raising rates by a quarter-point before the end of 2026, with an average rate expected to reach 3.8% this year.

Market reaction: Immediately after the announcement, spot gold dropped about 0.56% trading close to levels of $4,306 per ounce, while the US dollar index received support and rose by 0.48%.
In short, the Fed is refusing to rush into cutting rates at this moment to ensure inflation doesn’t bounce back, especially with ongoing geopolitical pressures and the impact of tariffs on commodity prices.

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