The market suddenly experiences a 'general rise', but how long can this wave of warmth last?
Just now, the cryptocurrency market saw a brief collective rebound. Watching the numbers on the screen jump from green, you might suddenly feel—are we about to turn red?
Currently, mainstream coins are rising significantly, with 92 out of 100 mainstream coins increasing in value. Bitcoin has risen about 2% to around $92,000, while ETH has surged even more by about 6% to around $3,300.
At the same time, there has been a net inflow of spot BTC and ETH ETFs, suggesting that institutional capital seems to be moving again.
At first glance, this appears to be a belated warm current in winter—but what truly gives one goosebumps is whether the market will 'cool down' in the next moment.
⚠️ Three Impact Signals
1) The atmosphere comes quickly, but the structure may not be stable
The rebound is a fact, but from the news itself, the market is still closely watching the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, macro risks, and changes in liquidity. A short-term rise does not equate to stabilized confidence; it merely indicates that temporary emotions have been ignited.
2) Caution hidden in the rebound
Although most coins are rising, the attitudes of many institutions and professional players indicate they are still waiting for clearer catalysts. When prices rise to a certain point and then stop, it suggests that many are uncertain about whether they can continue to hold, and they are more likely engaging in short-term arbitrage or tentative positioning.
3) The inflow and outflow of institutional funds are key variables
Today's ETF net inflow seems like good news on the surface, but it may just be a brief adjustment. The direction will ultimately be determined by the continued inflow or outflow over the next few days or weeks. If there are only occasional small net inflows for a day or two, it won't be enough to support a long-term trend.
This wave of increase resembles a temporary warming of market sentiment combined with a slight restructuring of capital, rather than the official starting point of a new bull market.
What truly determines the next step is not how much we 'rose today', but rather—
Whether institutions and long-term funds will continue to enter, or if it’s just tentative operations for a day or two;
Whether the macro environment and policies provide more stable signals, allowing the market to dare to establish positions at higher levels;
Whether liquidity, risk appetite, and market confidence truly return to levels that can support sustained increases.
