[All views are recorded! 82000 liquidated → 62000 positioned → 67100 reduced, now 63500 presents another opportunity]
🚨 In this round of the market, we basically captured all the major waves.
Back at over 82000 USD, we repeatedly warned about risks and led the community to exit at the highs; then, as the market dropped, we started gradually accumulating spot in the 62000-64000 range.
When BTC bounced back to around 67100, we once again clearly reminded everyone to reduce their positions. The reason is simple: previous articles have repeatedly emphasized that the 68100-69700 range is the most important resistance zone for this round of rebound, gathering Fibonacci 50% resistance, weekly EMA pressure, and prior platform sell-off pressures. With multiple factors converging, the difficulty of breaking through on the first attempt is immense.
As it turns out, the script ran according to expectations once again.
Last night, after the speech by Fed official Waller, the market's expectations for further rate hikes heated up, putting pressure on risk assets, and Bitcoin also saw the anticipated pullback. But in reality, news often serves merely as a catalyst; the real movement has long been reflected in the technical structure.
Currently, BTC has retraced to the support area around 63500 that we predicted in advance.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has completed a golden cross, but the RSI has not quickly entered the high territory. Based on historical experience, during a moderately strong rebound, the RSI typically runs above the mid-high level, and there is still significant space to reach this position.
Therefore, I still maintain the previous viewpoint:
📌 The probability of directly starting a new round of significant decline here is low;
📌 The likelihood of continuing to rebound after some consolidation is greater;
📌 Subsequent flag consolidation structure cannot be ruled out.
In terms of operations, I just re-accumulated 30% of my spot position around ETH 1730.
The follow-up plan is also very straightforward:
✅ If BTC continues to retrace to around 60800, I'll add another 30%;
✅ If the market stabilizes and rebounds ahead of time, I will reduce positions based on the strength of the rebound;
✅ When approaching the strong resistance zone of 68000-70000 again, I will closely observe; once a topping signal appears, I will prioritize taking profits and wait for further larger-scale second bottoming opportunities.
The overall mindset remains unchanged:
82000 was a sell, 62000 was a buy, 67100 was a reduction, and now at 63500, it’s time to reposition.
This way, we can attack when we need to and defend when necessary
#美联储四度维持利率不变 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB
🚨 In this round of the market, we basically captured all the major waves.
Back at over 82000 USD, we repeatedly warned about risks and led the community to exit at the highs; then, as the market dropped, we started gradually accumulating spot in the 62000-64000 range.
When BTC bounced back to around 67100, we once again clearly reminded everyone to reduce their positions. The reason is simple: previous articles have repeatedly emphasized that the 68100-69700 range is the most important resistance zone for this round of rebound, gathering Fibonacci 50% resistance, weekly EMA pressure, and prior platform sell-off pressures. With multiple factors converging, the difficulty of breaking through on the first attempt is immense.
As it turns out, the script ran according to expectations once again.
Last night, after the speech by Fed official Waller, the market's expectations for further rate hikes heated up, putting pressure on risk assets, and Bitcoin also saw the anticipated pullback. But in reality, news often serves merely as a catalyst; the real movement has long been reflected in the technical structure.
Currently, BTC has retraced to the support area around 63500 that we predicted in advance.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has completed a golden cross, but the RSI has not quickly entered the high territory. Based on historical experience, during a moderately strong rebound, the RSI typically runs above the mid-high level, and there is still significant space to reach this position.
Therefore, I still maintain the previous viewpoint:
📌 The probability of directly starting a new round of significant decline here is low;
📌 The likelihood of continuing to rebound after some consolidation is greater;
📌 Subsequent flag consolidation structure cannot be ruled out.
In terms of operations, I just re-accumulated 30% of my spot position around ETH 1730.
The follow-up plan is also very straightforward:
✅ If BTC continues to retrace to around 60800, I'll add another 30%;
✅ If the market stabilizes and rebounds ahead of time, I will reduce positions based on the strength of the rebound;
✅ When approaching the strong resistance zone of 68000-70000 again, I will closely observe; once a topping signal appears, I will prioritize taking profits and wait for further larger-scale second bottoming opportunities.
The overall mindset remains unchanged:
82000 was a sell, 62000 was a buy, 67100 was a reduction, and now at 63500, it’s time to reposition.
This way, we can attack when we need to and defend when necessary
#美联储四度维持利率不变 $BTC #BTC走势分析 $SPCXB