#加密市场反弹 $BTC Bitcoin (BTC) technical outlook - re-testing resistance while maintaining high-low structure
Bitcoin continues to trade in a short-term upward structure, forming a series of higher lows after a strong rebound to the $86,000–$88,000 demand zone. This area has repeatedly served as major support and has attracted buying interest again during recent pullbacks.
After reclaiming the 0.236 Fibonacci level ($91,426), BTC pushed into a key resistance zone but has not yet convincingly broken through.
BTC is currently facing a convergence of multiple major resistance levels, including:
$95,000 psychological resistance
0.382 Fibonacci ($98,070)
50 EMA (orange) at $96,633
100 EMA (cyan) at $101,969
200 EMA (dark blue) at $103,594
0.5 Fibonacci ($103,439)
This cluster has formed one of the strongest resistance areas on the chart.
As long as BTC maintains above the rising support trend line, bullish momentum remains intact, but a breakout above $95,000–$103,500 is needed to confirm a reversal back to the mid-term bullish trend.
A successful breakout will open up higher Fibonacci targets:
$108,809 (0.618 Fibonacci)
$116,454 (0.786 Fibonacci)
$126,193 (Fibonacci 1.0 / major high)
On the downside, losing the trend line and breaking below the $86,000–$88,000 demand zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and expose BTC to the $80,686 Fibonacci zero point, which is long-term macro support.
RSI is currently around 49, indicating neutral momentum. A breakout above 55 will confirm enhanced bullish strength.
📊 Key levels
Resistance area
$91,426 (0.236 Fibonacci - reclaimed)
$95,000 (psychological level)
$96,633 (50 EMA)
$98,070 (0.382 Fibonacci)
$101,969 (100 EMA)
$103,439–$103,594 (0.5 Fibonacci + 200 EMA resonance)
$108,809 (0.618 Fibonacci)
$116,454 $86K 0.786 Fibonacci $BTC
Support area
$86,000–$88,000 major demand zone
Uptrend line support current short-term structure
$80,686 Fibonacci 0——macro support
📈 RSI
49.01 → Neutral; if RSI breaks 55, it may turn into bullish momentum.
📌 Summary
BTC respects its higher low structure and remains above the major support zone, but is still constrained by significant resistance between $95,000 and $103,500.
Once a decisive breakout occurs in this area, it will mark the beginning of a stronger bull market continuation, while failing to maintain upward support could lead to a deeper correction, even a pullback to $80K.
