Friends, I am Lao Xu. I've been surfing the crypto market for eight years, witnessed too many stories of overnight zeroing, and experienced my own journey from fifty thousand through multiple bull and bear markets. Today, I won't talk about metaphysics or boast; let's discuss something practical: In this highly volatile market, those who can survive and steadily rise often rely on a set of 'counter-intuitive' systems. The following points are insights I gained through real investment; they might help you avoid several years of detours.
Survive first, then talk about making money
I split the funds into five parts, and never risk more than twenty percent in a single move. This is not being conservative; it's about giving myself five opportunities. Set a 10% stop loss; a mistake only costs 2% of the total capital, and even if I make five mistakes in a row, the loss won't exceed 10%. But when I am right, I let the profits run. The stop loss and take profit lines are like the brakes and accelerator when driving; both are essential. Many people get trapped not because they misjudge the direction, but because they bet all their dignity on the first wager.
"The trend is your friend" is a cliché, but most people don't really understand it
A rebound in a downtrend is very much like the saying 'he will change' in love; a pullback in an uptrend is the real 'golden pit'. Never catch a knife in a waterfall; learn to buy low when strong coins pull back. Going with the trend is not about chasing highs and cutting losses; it's about recognizing the direction of the tide and then riding the waves.
Stay away from the temptation of 'star coins'
No matter how popular a coin is, after a short-term surge of 2-3 times, I put it on the 'calm list'. Market funds are limited; the support needed after a continuous rise exceeds imagination. A high-level stagnation is a signal; don't fantasize that you are the chosen one who can escape at the last moment of passing the baton; you are not.
I use MACD, but I never blindly trust indicators
When the DIF and DEA cross above the zero axis after a golden cross below it, it's one of my favorite starting signals; a dead cross above the zero axis means I will reduce my position and observe. But remember, indicators are just maps, not the battlefield itself. Viewing in conjunction with volume and structure will improve the win rate.
Averaging down? That's the 'gentle trap' for retail investors
Adding positions after losses is essentially trying to prove that you are right. But the market never cares about your right or wrong. My principle is: add positions only when profitable; immediately reassess the logic when losing. Averaging down is like constantly making excuses for a bad relationship, ultimately dragging you down not just financially, but also in confidence.
Trading volume is the market's breath
A volume breakout after a period of consolidation at a low level is a sign that the main force has awakened; a high-level breakout that doesn't move is a sign of fatigue. Volume leads price; understand the language of trading volume, and you will understand the emotions behind the market.
Only be with the trend, don't go against time
When the 3-day line is upward, look at the short-term; when the 30-day line is upward, look at the medium-term; when the 84-day line rises, it may be the invitation to the main rising wave; when the 120-day line is upward, it confirms the long-term pattern. Behind every moving average, different capital cycles are speaking. I only trade coins with at least two lines upward; time is precious, don't waste it in sideways or declining markets.
Every day, I shut the door and do one thing: review
Don't focus on rises or falls, only see if the logic still holds, whether the weekly structure is healthy, and if the trend has deformed. Trading is like sailing; regularly checking the course is more important than blindly speeding up. My disciple can double his investment in three months, not because he is amazing, but because he spends an hour every night reviewing and internalizing discipline.
The market is always there, but your capital may not be. In this jungle, living longer is more important than running faster. Follow me@男神说币 #加密市场反弹 $BTC
