#ETH走势分析 $ETH
ETHUSDT 1h Market Trend Analysis Report
Current Price: 3200.66 USDT
24-Hour Change: 0.580%
Major Support Level: 3189.34 USDT
Major Resistance Level: 3252.15 USDT
Current Trend: Fluctuating Bearish
Detailed Explanation:
Technical indicators collectively show the market is in a tug-of-war phase, with a weak fluctuating pattern in the short term. The moving average system shows a fluctuating arrangement, with MA5 (3237.48) crossing below MA10 (3242.14), indicating a short-term bearish arrangement. The MACD indicator DIF (1.99) is below DEA (2.28), and the histogram has turned negative, suggesting a bearish short-term momentum. The BOLL band has narrowed (bandwidth 0.02%), and the price is operating below the middle band, with a %B value of 0.34% indicating the price is close to the lower band, presenting a possibility of a technical rebound but overall remains weak.
The RSI indicator is all below 50 (RSI6=37.54, RSI12=47.17), in a weak zone but not in the oversold area, indicating that the downward momentum is still present but limited in space. The KDJ indicator shows K value (43.69) is below D value (51.13), and J value has dropped to 28.83, indicating continued downward pressure in the short term.
The funding rate of 0.002618% is at a neutral low level, showing a relatively balanced long and short sentiment. Volume analysis indicates a recent increase in selling volume (for example, during the 1765461600000 period, the trading volume was 532513.94), with volume-price coordination showing a bearish advantage. Capital flow data shows continuous net outflows in various periods, with 1H net outflow of 192 million USDT and 4H net outflow of 540 million USDT, indicating a significant withdrawal of funds, putting short-term pressure.
Analysis Results
Direction: Cautiously Short
Entry Timing: Accumulate short positions in batches as the price rebounds to the 3230-3240 range
Stop Loss Setting: 3275 USDT (approximately 2.3% stop loss margin)
Target Price: 3180-3150 USDT (expected return rate 3-5%)
Note: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice! The current market is near a key support level, and it is recommended to strictly control position risk. If the price effectively breaks through 3275, the trend needs to be reassessed.
