📊 Employment Cost Index in the United States (ECI) – September 2025 Update

Finally, the latest labor cost data has been obtained, painting a steady - but cautious - picture of the U.S. economy. Here’s what the numbers reveal:

💼 Compensation Trends

• Compensation costs increased by 0.8% in the third quarter of 2025

• Civilian worker compensation rose by 3.5% year-over-year

• Private sector wages increased by 3.6%, while local and state government wages rose by 3.5%

• Real wages (adjusted for inflation) showed moderate but positive growth across all sectors

⛔ Why the delay?

The report arrived more than five weeks late due to the federal government shutdown, significantly reducing survey response rates and slowing data processing.

📅 What’s next?

The Employment Cost Index has now been rescheduled for December 2025 to take place on February 10, 2026 - a key date for traders tracking inflation and macro trends.

💹 Market Angle:

These steady wage increases could impact expectations for interest rate decisions, consumer price index trends, and the broader macro backdrop - all of which are directly linked to the momentum of cryptocurrencies, particularly $ETH.

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