Macro Reality Check š
QT officially ended on December 1 š
Starting December 12, the Fed begins Treasury bill purchases šµ to ease money-market stress.
Thatās just 12 days ā±ļø between balance-sheet tightening ending and liquidity injections starting.
Important clarity š
This is not officially called QE by the Fed ā
Itās framed as reserve management š¦
But in practice, liquidity conditions are turning positive š
Why this matters for markets šØ
⢠Balance sheet is no longer shrinking šā”ļø
⢠Short-term liquidity pressure is easing š§
⢠Financial conditions are quietly loosening š
⢠Markets usually react to liquidity before.
headlines š§
This doesnāt mean straight-line pumps š«š
Volatility stays ā”
But historically, liquidity pivots set the foundation for future cycles š§©
2026 isnāt about hype āš„
Itās about positioning early šÆ while most are still debating terminology š£ļø
Watch liquidity. Price follows. šš



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