12.15 BTC Prediction Analysis in the early morning
On Monday, global institutional funds flowed back into the crypto market. The excessive drop after the sudden decline of BTC needs to be filled, and a large amount of bottom-fishing funds has accumulated in the 88000-89000 range. In the early morning, the collective force of funds will push the price up unilaterally, not allowing time for a choppy washout. After the weekend, market trading sentiment shifted from cautious to active, and with the bottoming signal of a long lower shadow during the day, early Monday belongs to the window period of 'trend continuation + emotional explosion.' The choppy structure of the technical aspect is broken by the emotional force of funds, forming a unilateral rebound.
Key Support: 88500 (the day's low of 88401.6 has confirmed the trend bottom, and early Monday, this point is the 'foundation' for the rebound, with a breaking probability of 0, serving as a defensive point for trend initiation)
Bottom Support: 88000 (only a psychological defense line, will not be touched in the early morning of Monday, can be used as a risk control reference for extreme situations).
First Resistance: 90000 (the integer barrier is the first target for the rebound, which will easily break in the early morning of Monday, and there will be no obvious pullback after the breakthrough).
Second Resistance: 92000 (the phase top of the trend rebound, is the upper limit that can be reached in the early morning of Monday). The trapped selling pressure above 90000 has been largely released during the day's decline, and the selling pressure resistance will significantly weaken during the rebound on early Monday, allowing the price to advance directly towards 92000 after breaking through.
Operational Suggestions:
Directly build a long position in the 88500 - 89000 range, with a stop loss only set below 88000. The first target looks at 90000, and after breaking, continue to hold looking at 91000-92000 without needing to take profits in between. If the price breaks through 90000 and the volume increases, you can lightly chase the long position in the 90000-90500 range, with the same target looking at 91500-92000, and a stop loss set at 89500.
Notes:
The stop loss for the low long position must be strictly set below 88000. This position is the core of trend defense, and if it breaks, the logic of unilateral rebound becomes invalid, requiring immediate exit. The stop loss for chasing long positions is set at 89500. If the price pulls back to this point, it indicates a false breakout, and decisive stop loss is needed to avoid adjustment risks. Focus on long positions, strictly maintain stop losses, and hold firmly; be wary of false breakouts and sudden news, reduce positions timely in case of volume shrinkage or negative news.
