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How to escape panic when the market is flooded with conflicting news?
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đ© Bottom lineBinanceâs temporary pause on LUNC deposits / withdrawals (trading stays open) is simply a precaution while the Terra Classic network installs its V3.3.0 upgrade. Historically, similar maintenance windows have produced a short-term pop in price as traders âbuy the rumour, sell the news,â but the real value comes if the upgrade truly lowers fees and attracts developersâthen the chainâs long-term capacity and token burns can compound value. some traders front-run a re-open bounceV3.3.0 upgrade Cleaner taxâhandling, better tooling for dApp builders Stronger fundamentals = higher âfair valueâ if devs actually ship dAppsExchange support Binance + major CEXs handle all back-end steps Confidence signal; avoids fragmented marketsCommunity burn agenda Tax & burn parameters unaffected Continued supply shrink = long-run tailwindTactical view (1-3 weeks)Support / resistance:âą 0.000084 USD â multi-week support (June & Sept lows)âą 0.00011 USD â rotation high; breakout line for momentum longsOrder-flow clues:âą Funding rates turned slightly positive on perpetuals â mild long bias.âą Binance order book shows larger bids than asks #Strategic view (3-12 months)âą Tokenomics: Continuous burns + reduced tax friction could finally nudge the fully-diluted valuation down while daily active addresses rise.âą Dev traction: Watch Github commits & dApp count; they are leading indicators of future TVL.âą Regulatory optics: Recent suits against Binanceâs regional arms underscore counter-party risk; self-custody is prudent.âą Correlation: LUNC beta â 1.5 to BTC.expect higher volatility; size positions accordingly.Risk checklistâ Exchange-specific outage risk (rare but real)â Upgrade delay / rollbackâ Macro shock (Fed, BTC drawdown)â Governance wars (conflicting burn proposals #LUNCâ
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I am just a new learner if you have any information or any advice to give me pls I would like to hear from you in the comment âșïžaaaa and btw I entered bc I got scammed from am" mining platform " called h5 superalgorithm.ai with 10k dollars hehehehe so I am starting from zero. but! I am motivated #WriteToEarnUpgrade #weeklyreport $BNB
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Bottom line đ§Japanâs shift from the worldâs cheapest funding source to a net seller of assets is a genuine regime change. With USD/JPY hovering near 156 (well above the 150 and 145 âtrip-wireâ levels), leverage that was once juiced by „-carry is now at risk of unravelling. Expect tighter global liquidity, higher funding costs, and a volatility spike across risk assetsâespecially crypto and high-beta equitiesâinto and after the 19 Dec BOJ meeting.1. Whatâs really changing?BOJ action Why it matters Market plumbing impact+50 bp cumulative hikes in 2024-25; probability of another hike to 0.75 % on 19 Dec â 90 % Yen funding cost is no longer ~0 % Unwinds classic „-carry trades in tech, bonds, cryptoGradual ETF liquidation: „330 bn/yr (~$2.3 bn) â 100-yr draw-down plan 2 First central-bank QT of equities ever Structural seller replaces implicit âBOJ putâRecord 10-yr JGB yield near 1.96 % Higher local real rates Pulls money back on-shore, pressures USD fundingKey takeaway: liquidity that once flowed from Japan into global risk assets will now be repatriated, and positions built on that liquidity must be resized.2. Stress levels to watchPreview CodeJan 2025Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025145150155140USDJPY 2025DateUSD per JPY150145The pair is already >150, the margin-call threshold many prime brokers flag.A quick break of 145 would force CTA/systematic deleveraging and could cascade through crypto, EM FX, and high-beta equities.3. Asset-class check-listAsset Near-term bias RationaleUSD/JPY Lower (preferred expression: staggered put spreads) Positioning still net-short yen; higher JGB yields + BOJ QT favour yen strength.Bitcoin & high-beta crypto Downside risk â20 % to â30 % (historical post-hike pattern) Each 2024-25 hike preceded 23-31 % BTC drawdowns; leverage sensitive to USD/JPY moves.Gold bullion Mixed in USD, stronger in JPY USD rally off risk-off could cap $-gold, but yen appreciation boosts „-gold; still a hedge if liquidity crunch spreads.
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