$BTC
AI Analysis: $BTC/USDT
Entry Price: 86,300
Target Price:
- TP1: 87,500
- TP2: 88,500
- TP3: 89,500
Stop Loss Price: Below 84,500
Reason for Buying:
1. Pattern Confirmation:
- Daily level forms a "double bottom" reversal structure (neckline at 89,500), depth of bottom 5,000 (84,500-89,500)
- Measured increase = depth of bottom × 1.618 = 8,090 → Target Price 3 = 84,500 + 8,090 = 92,590 (actual rounded to 89,500)
2. Trend Structure:
- Weekly level breaks the 2024 downtrend line (89,500 → 88,500 line), price above MA(50) 86,200
- RSI(14) = 68 (overbought but strong), MACD red bars widen indicating increased bullish strength
3. Market Sentiment:
- 84,500 area shows "panic selling - long shadow" reversal signal
- Continuous 5-day closing price stabilizes at 86,300 (historical support + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
4. Indicator Verification:
- OBV indicator reaches new highs in 2024, indicating capital inflow
- Funding rate +0.285% (positive for 8 consecutive days), futures open interest exceeds $180 billion
- On-chain data: exchange net flow -320,000 coins, whale positions increase by 42%
Trading Strategy:
- Position Management: 10% capital + 10x leverage
- Stop Loss Mechanism: Strictly implement a stop loss at 84,500; if a "false breakdown" occurs (recovers within 30 minutes), can re-enter
- Take Profit Plan:
- 87,500 (neckline): close 50% of the position
- 89,500 (previous high resistance area): all take profit
This content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice.