BREAKING: 2026 COULD BE A VERY CHALLENGING YEAR FOR THE MARKETS 💡

After several days of analyzing the trajectory of the global financial system, it is becoming clear that 2026 promises to be a particularly challenging year. Signals from bond markets, particularly US Treasuries, are cause for concern. Bond volatility is already beginning to manifest itself, and the MOVE index, which measures this volatility, is rising slowly but surely — a phenomenon that never occurs without reason.

There are three main points of tension:

1️⃣ The US Treasury

In 2026, the Treasury will have to refinance huge amounts of debt while continuing to manage massive deficits. Interest expenses are rising sharply. Foreign investors are becoming more cautious.

Financial institutions have less room to absorb this debt.

2️⃣ Japan's role

Japan, the main holder of Treasury bonds and a central player in capital transfer deals, could exacerbate these tensions.

If the yen continues to fluctuate wildly and the Bank of Japan has to intervene, carry trades will quickly close out.

Japanese institutions will sell not only domestic assets but also foreign bonds.

3️⃣ China

China is another source of pressure. Ongoing problems related to local debt and local government finances have not gone away.

Signals from bond markets, particularly US Treasuries, are cause for concern. Bond volatility is already beginning to manifest itself, and the MOVE index, which measures this volatility, is rising slowly but surely — a phenomenon that never appears without reason.

Central banks will then intervene to inject liquidity and stabilize the system, but this will set the stage for the next phase: a decline in real yields, a recovery in hard assets, and a restart of inflationary cycles.

ATTENTION SIGNAL ALERT ✈️🥳

$US 🌟

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