Japan's interest rate hike is approaching, don't rush to catch the bottom for BTC! 💣
Suddenly plummeting on Friday morning, many people panicked. Don't worry, the real pressure cooker is still ahead—Japan's central bank meeting on the 18th-19th, Polymarket data shows the probability of raising interest rates to 0.75% has soared to 98%, almost a done deal!
This will be Japan's highest interest rate in 30 years, directly impacting global liquidity.
Core logic: Yen arbitrage trading is reversing!
For many years, institutions borrowed nearly zero-cost yen, exchanged it for dollars to buy Bitcoin and other assets, easily earning interest differentials. Now, with Japan raising interest rates, the cost of borrowing has skyrocketed, and the arbitrage space is rapidly shrinking—large funds must sell assets and convert back to yen to repay debts.
That's why BTC gets sold off whenever there's a rebound. It's not a collapse of faith, but a reversal of liquidity patterns.
Remember two points:
1. Don't try to catch the bottom just because you see too much bearishness; you can't catch the 'flying knife' in a downtrend;
2. Preserve your capital and wait for panic emotions to be released. Only after this wave of forced selling ends and the market clears will it be the right time to pick up bargains.
In the short term, hold tight, keep your bullets ready; opportunities always arise after a crisis. #巨鲸动向 $BTC
