Today, December 16, 2025, the biggest event in the Forex market, the NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) report, is about to be released. This report will play a crucial role in determining the direction of the US dollar and gold.

The details below will help you understand today's expected movement:

📊 What to expect from the NFP report?

Forecast: Experts predict an increase of around 50,000 jobs in November.

Unemployment Rate: It is expected to remain at 4.4% or 4.5%.

Notably: This report was delayed due to the government shutdown, so unusual volatility is expected in the market this time.

🟡 Impact and direction on Gold (Gold - XAU/USD)

Gold is currently trading close to the significant level of $ 4,280.

If the report comes in weak (jobs less than 50,000):

Impact: The dollar will weaken, and there will be a strong surge in gold.

Target: Gold could reach $4,350 and then its all-time high of $4,381.

If the report comes in strong:

Impact: The dollar will strengthen, and there may be a temporary sell-off in gold.

Target: Gold may test support levels of $4,265 and $4,245 downwards.

Summary: The overall trend for gold is still bullish, but today's report could temporarily push it down or take it to new heights.

💵 Impact on US Dollar ($ - DXY)

The dollar is currently near its two-month low level (98.15).