๐จ CPI COUNTDOWN: Will Bitcoin Hold $86k or Crash Harder? ๐
๐จ CPI ALERT: The Calm Before the Storm? ๐จ
The crypto market is holding its breath. With Bitcoin hovering precariously below $86,000, we are entering a critical zone. Sentiment has shifted to "Fear," and the charts are painting a cautious picture. We are currently sitting nearly 30% down from the October all-time high of $126,000, and the next 48 hours could dictate the trend for the rest of 2025.
Here is what you need to know:
๐ The Big Event: Thursday, Dec 18
Mark your calendars for 8:30 a.m. ET this Thursday. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November is finally dropping. Remember the chaos caused by the government shutdown delaying the last report? That uncertainty has left the market flying blind. This data release is massive.
๐ Why Is Bitcoin Weak?
Demand is drying up. We are seeing sustained outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and a drop in active wallet addresses. Institutions are de-risking, and retail is waiting on the sidelines. The market is fragile, and a "hot" CPI print (higher inflation) could trigger a sell-off toward lower support levels.
๐ฅ Volatility is Guaranteed
Itโs not just CPI. We have NFP data and Bank of Japan decisions in the mix. This confluence of macro events means liquidity will be tested.
- If CPI comes in cooler (lower) than expected: We might see a relief rally to reclaim $90k.
- If CPI comes in hot: Brace for impact. We could test the lower $80k region.
๐ก My Take
Cash is a position right now. I am watching for a knee-jerk reaction on Thursday morning. Don't chase the first candle! Let the dust settle before entering high-leverage positions.
Whatโs your game plan? Are you buying this dip, or waiting for lower prices? Drop your entry targets below! ๐
