đ BTC Next Move: Short Summary (December 2025)
âBitcoin (BTC) is currently in a critical "make or break" phase following a significant correction from its 2025 highs. The price is hovering around $86,500, trapped between major support and resistance levels. The immediate future depends entirely on whether it holds the critical floor.
âKey Price Levels:
Price Significance
Critical Support $84,000
Immediate Resistance $94,000
Major Resistance $100,000
The Three Scenarios:
Scenario Trigger Target Likelihood
A: Bearish Breakdown Confirmed close BELOW $84,000. $70,000 - $74,000 High Risk
B: Consolidation Price trades between $84,000 and $94,000. Sideways action. Most Likely
C: Bullish Reclaim Sustained close ABOVE $94,000. $100,000+
Primary Drivers
âMacroeconomics: The market is sensitive to global "risk-off" sentiment and upcoming central bank decisions (e.g., Dec 19 BoJ meeting).
âOn-Chain Signals: Sentiment is in "Extreme Fear" (often a buy signal), and miner capitulation metrics suggest a potential long-term bottom is forming, but the short-term pressure remains.
âIn essence, the next major move will be dictated by the market's reaction to the $84,000 support level.
Here is the visual chart illustrating the key price levels and the three potential scenarios for Bitcoin's next move based on the research.
âChart Breakdown:
âBlack Line: Represents the recent corrective price action leading to the current price (~$86,500).
âGreen Line ($84k): The critical "Line in the Sand." Holding this is vital for Scenario B.
âYellow Zone (Scenario B): The consolidation range between $84k and $94k where price is likely to chop sideways.
âRed Arrow (Scenario A): The path if the $84k support breaks, targeting the $70k-$74k zone.
âGreen Arrow (Scenario C): The bullish path if $94k is reclaimed, targeting $100k+.
