$ETH Faith Collapse? Has the market secretly 'betrayed' us, and is tonight's data just a formality?
Crypto friends, a cold truth is surfacing: right before the release of tonight's critical non-farm payroll data, the market has cast its vote with real money—betting that the probability of interest rate cuts in January next year is a pitiful 24.4%! This is a world apart from the nationwide frenzy one month ago when everyone was wagering on 'continuous rate cuts.'
What does this mean? It means that the smartest money in the market has already 'betrayed' us. They no longer believe that the Federal Reserve will easily turn on the taps and have even begun preparing for a 'higher and longer' interest rate environment.
Tonight's data, whether good or bad, may simply serve as an official footnote to this 'expectation massacre.' The biggest 'emotional fuel' in the crypto market in the short term—the illusion of liquidity—is being rapidly drained.
Rui Shen's perspective: When a consensus reverses in such a brutal manner, it is often accompanied by a sharp revaluation of assets. Those overvalued altcoins that purely rely on the 'water release narrative' will face a real test.
Here are three 'life-saving' suggestions for crypto friends:
1. Reduce positions for safety: Cut down on high-risk altcoin positions and focus on core assets like Bitcoin.
2. Cash is king: Keep enough bullets, don’t exhaust your resources while searching for direction in the market.
3. Be patient: Wait for the dust to settle on this 'expectation clearance' before planning your next steps.
Are you ready to watch from the sidelines, or will you ride the wave? 关注瑞神, let’s analyze more moves by the big players and seize the next wave of wealth codes! #巨鲸动向 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
